This is why I think looking at party ID on the early vote is not very instructive. We do not know how well Harris' pitch to GOP-leaning women is going to play out. We also know that there was little ground game in 2020 when Biden won. We know that Harris' ground game is perhaps the most comprehensive in history and at least as good as Ob…
This is why I think looking at party ID on the early vote is not very instructive. We do not know how well Harris' pitch to GOP-leaning women is going to play out. We also know that there was little ground game in 2020 when Biden won. We know that Harris' ground game is perhaps the most comprehensive in history and at least as good as Obama '08 which should push our ED margins up from 2020.
Now, is it possible there is a red wave coming from low propensity whites, a realignment from Latinos (not likely after yesterday), or that the Musk/Kirk turnout operation is better than we think? Of course...but this panicking over each Ralston tweet and the PA firewall (which looks like it will be met soon) is getting tired.
I don't know much about the Colombian-American community, but the others are historically red to begin with.
The other thing about the Puerto Rico slam is that they are US citizens and their population is part of our military and has been for more than a century. This wasn't the typical immigrant bashing.
The Puerto Rico joke got the most traction, but he also made another offensive joke about how Latinos love "coming" here and making babies. Don't think it'll be as damaging, but it doesn't help with non-Puerto Rican Latinos either.
I hear you but relying on Republicans to push us over the top may work in this specific election but is not a viable strategy going forward. The Machine issues need to be addressed immediately.
This is why I think looking at party ID on the early vote is not very instructive. We do not know how well Harris' pitch to GOP-leaning women is going to play out. We also know that there was little ground game in 2020 when Biden won. We know that Harris' ground game is perhaps the most comprehensive in history and at least as good as Obama '08 which should push our ED margins up from 2020.
Now, is it possible there is a red wave coming from low propensity whites, a realignment from Latinos (not likely after yesterday), or that the Musk/Kirk turnout operation is better than we think? Of course...but this panicking over each Ralston tweet and the PA firewall (which looks like it will be met soon) is getting tired.
I don't know how much Cubans, Venezuelans or Colombians will be angry about slams of Puerto Rico.
I don't know much about the Colombian-American community, but the others are historically red to begin with.
The other thing about the Puerto Rico slam is that they are US citizens and their population is part of our military and has been for more than a century. This wasn't the typical immigrant bashing.
I'm quite aware of that and pointed it out yesterday.
The Puerto Rico joke got the most traction, but he also made another offensive joke about how Latinos love "coming" here and making babies. Don't think it'll be as damaging, but it doesn't help with non-Puerto Rican Latinos either.
True.
I hear you but relying on Republicans to push us over the top may work in this specific election but is not a viable strategy going forward. The Machine issues need to be addressed immediately.
There are no machine issues, except for inside your mind