I know you know this but there's a pretty long tradition of pollsters underestimating democratic strength in Nevada. It wasn't as bad in 2022, although they did show Laxalt with a 1.4 lead in the aggregate on election day, about a 2.2 miss. The worst example of it and the one that sticks in my mind is the 2012 senate race when the pollin…
I know you know this but there's a pretty long tradition of pollsters underestimating democratic strength in Nevada. It wasn't as bad in 2022, although they did show Laxalt with a 1.4 lead in the aggregate on election day, about a 2.2 miss. The worst example of it and the one that sticks in my mind is the 2012 senate race when the polling showed Shelley Berkley down 4-5 or more and she was basically left for dead and then it turned out she lost by a little over a point and I think if the party believed that she was that close there would've been much more of an effort to help her get across the finish line.
Nevada was one of many states where the polls underestimated Democrats in 2012. In the last 25 years, I think 2012 was probably my favorite election night as pretty much everything went the Dems way.
I know you know this but there's a pretty long tradition of pollsters underestimating democratic strength in Nevada. It wasn't as bad in 2022, although they did show Laxalt with a 1.4 lead in the aggregate on election day, about a 2.2 miss. The worst example of it and the one that sticks in my mind is the 2012 senate race when the polling showed Shelley Berkley down 4-5 or more and she was basically left for dead and then it turned out she lost by a little over a point and I think if the party believed that she was that close there would've been much more of an effort to help her get across the finish line.
Nevada was one of many states where the polls underestimated Democrats in 2012. In the last 25 years, I think 2012 was probably my favorite election night as pretty much everything went the Dems way.
Ironically, the only big race that didn’t was… NV-Sen!