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GoUBears's avatar

Winning or losing has nothing to do with it; its whether or not Pence, Vance, Haley, etc. would measure up to his performance. They're two of the four states, along with Hawaii and Arkansas, where Trump improved on Romney's percentage margin in 2016 and then improved on his own percentage margin in 2020. It's barely true for Nevada in 2020, but true nonetheless. It also isn't necessarily about the magnitude of swing; they're 15th and 16th in percentage margin swing from 2012 to 2020.

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