Nevada has always been a big question mark for me. A lot does depend on the idea of any tradition of machine voters (Reid Machine or otherwise) sticking to election day voting. Why do that when voting earlier is an option that's available? (I'm not in Nevada; our state has early voting beginning today ).
Nevada has always been a big question mark for me. A lot does depend on the idea of any tradition of machine voters (Reid Machine or otherwise) sticking to election day voting. Why do that when voting earlier is an option that's available? (I'm not in Nevada; our state has early voting beginning today ).
Because for many people regarding of affiliation or ideology, voting on "the day" is sacred and special. No other feeling like it. For them voting on another day is like celebrating Christmas not on 25 December or Independence Day not on 4 July.
I think this is true, but up to a point: I don't think it can't fully explain the current NV deficit we're seeing. We know that Nevada is a state where this tradition is less salient -- from shares of early voting not only in 2020 and 2022, but also elections before that. There isn't, to me, a ready explanation for why the NV electorate's views on voting day of vs. early would have shifted significantly since 2016 (or earlier), so presumably there's something else going on under hood that's driving the R+5-6 deficit we're seeing. That could very well be automatic registration/automatic mail ballots, but hard to say.
Nevada has always been a big question mark for me. A lot does depend on the idea of any tradition of machine voters (Reid Machine or otherwise) sticking to election day voting. Why do that when voting earlier is an option that's available? (I'm not in Nevada; our state has early voting beginning today ).
Because for many people regarding of affiliation or ideology, voting on "the day" is sacred and special. No other feeling like it. For them voting on another day is like celebrating Christmas not on 25 December or Independence Day not on 4 July.
I think this is true, but up to a point: I don't think it can't fully explain the current NV deficit we're seeing. We know that Nevada is a state where this tradition is less salient -- from shares of early voting not only in 2020 and 2022, but also elections before that. There isn't, to me, a ready explanation for why the NV electorate's views on voting day of vs. early would have shifted significantly since 2016 (or earlier), so presumably there's something else going on under hood that's driving the R+5-6 deficit we're seeing. That could very well be automatic registration/automatic mail ballots, but hard to say.
But it seems that the NV House seats are pretty safe, judging by the outside group spending decisions. And the polling looks strong for Rosen as well.
Sorry, this was supposed to be a response to Gina Mann.