At this point, I'm calling the Senate election for Ruben Gallego. He's been consistently ahead of Kari Lake the whole time by sizeable polling margins.
They're running hybrid ads from someone who lives in the state. But honestly out of all the ads I've seen from Trump, Harris, and Gallego (not to mention the CD1 ads) they're few and far between
Final ARIZONA poll by CNN/SSRS
ARIZONA
🟦 Harris: 48% (+1)
🟥 Trump: 47%
🟪 Oliver: 2%
🟩 Stein: 1%
Last poll (8/29) - 🔴 Trump+5
——
AZ SENATE
🟦 Gallego: 51% (+8)
🟥 Lake: 43%
——
#14 (2.8/3.0) | likely voters | 10/21-26
https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/25257085/cnn-polls-harris-and-trump-locked-in-close-races-in-arizona-and-nevada-as-pool-of-persuadable-voters-shrinks.pdf
looking more like Gallego knew what he was talking about when he said if he is 7-8 pts ahead he is certain KH wins AZ
I think the gap probably ends up at around 5-6 and so yeah I think if he's up 7-8 I'd like our chances.
why do you think it will be 5-6? CNN polls have had a definite right tilt all year...maybe he is actually ahead 8-9?
What I'm saying is I think the gap between the two races will be 5-6
Ok...I mis-interpreted your comment...sounds good to me!
👀
At this point, I'm calling the Senate election for Ruben Gallego. He's been consistently ahead of Kari Lake the whole time by sizeable polling margins.
Did the NRSC triage Lake yet?
Months ago actually(McConnell never spent a nickel there)
They're running hybrid ads from someone who lives in the state. But honestly out of all the ads I've seen from Trump, Harris, and Gallego (not to mention the CD1 ads) they're few and far between