Looking at the Saskatchewan map from yesterday without zooming in, you'd think the NDP did a lot worse than a 26-35 split of seats. It's also pretty hard to see how they achieve a majority. They currently lead in 10 of the 15 seats decided by under 15%. It's easy enough to see them picking up the final two Saskatoon seats in the future (…
Looking at the Saskatchewan map from yesterday without zooming in, you'd think the NDP did a lot worse than a 26-35 split of seats. It's also pretty hard to see how they achieve a majority. They currently lead in 10 of the 15 seats decided by under 15%. It's easy enough to see them picking up the final two Saskatoon seats in the future (one might still flip this time around), and the Prince Albert seats, where they trail by 2% and 8%, aren't that big of reaches. But where that last seat for a majority would come from is a big question, and we're a decade out from another round of redistricting. Of the Saskatchewan Party's 31 other seats, they won 23 by at least 30%. The remaining 8: the Moose Jaw seats by 14% and 22%, the Yorkton seat by 19%, the east Regina burbs seat by 19%, the Battleford seat by 23%, the west Saskatoon burbs seat by 23%, and two rural seats by 22% and 26%.
Even though they will have fallen short, NDP did a lot better than last time. The 2020 Saskatchewan election saw them winning 13 seats and 31% of the vote. They're near 40% of the vote and ~26 seats now.
Looking at the Saskatchewan map from yesterday without zooming in, you'd think the NDP did a lot worse than a 26-35 split of seats. It's also pretty hard to see how they achieve a majority. They currently lead in 10 of the 15 seats decided by under 15%. It's easy enough to see them picking up the final two Saskatoon seats in the future (one might still flip this time around), and the Prince Albert seats, where they trail by 2% and 8%, aren't that big of reaches. But where that last seat for a majority would come from is a big question, and we're a decade out from another round of redistricting. Of the Saskatchewan Party's 31 other seats, they won 23 by at least 30%. The remaining 8: the Moose Jaw seats by 14% and 22%, the Yorkton seat by 19%, the east Regina burbs seat by 19%, the Battleford seat by 23%, the west Saskatoon burbs seat by 23%, and two rural seats by 22% and 26%.
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/saskatchewan/2024/results/#/
Even though they will have fallen short, NDP did a lot better than last time. The 2020 Saskatchewan election saw them winning 13 seats and 31% of the vote. They're near 40% of the vote and ~26 seats now.
Doubling your seat count is a great result