Imo the key point of that poll is that Alsobrooks is unknown to over half the state and still winning; her favorable rating is huge and can consolidate the Democratic coalition relatively easily as she gets introduced to the broader statewide electorate; Sabato rates this race as Safe D and Cook rates it Solid D; I agree with the experts
Are you sure?? Perhaps I was thinking of another race that a poll came out and started a similar discussion and I checked cook/Sabato; my mistake, oops
MD-Gov: Gonzales research has Alsobrooks up 46-41: https://marylandreporter.com/2024/09/04/gonzales-poll-part-2-in-a-senate-race-alsobrooks-has-slight-lead-over-hogan-46-to-41/
Imo the key point of that poll is that Alsobrooks is unknown to over half the state and still winning; her favorable rating is huge and can consolidate the Democratic coalition relatively easily as she gets introduced to the broader statewide electorate; Sabato rates this race as Safe D and Cook rates it Solid D; I agree with the experts
Sabato and Cook both have it at Likely D, not Safe/Solid.
Are you sure?? Perhaps I was thinking of another race that a poll came out and started a similar discussion and I checked cook/Sabato; my mistake, oops
Likely seems right to me. It's very unlikely for her to lose, but Hogan is the country's most popular governor, so it's conceivable.
It may be closer than people want it to be, but I think Alsobrooks will win.
I don't think in the end; that it's close