Don’t worry – at least not yet. For clarity and peace of mind, we should all follow John Ralston and his daily Early Voting Blog in the Nevada Independent, which you quote. For all things about Nevada elections, Ralston is the pre-eminent expert! That said, he will intentionally make some dramatic statements.
It seems odd because the Democratic House PAC moved money out of the three House races in NV and the Republicans in the Senate race are using the hybrid spending instead of all in. If Harris was worried about Nevada in what they are seeing, I don’t think the other organizations would be pulling out.
Yeah I simply don't see how Senator and 3 Reps are seen as near safe while a lot of people are down on Harris's chances. I guess that did essentially happen in 2022 when we lost the Gov race, but it hard for me to see much of a divergence this year.
Don’t worry – at least not yet. For clarity and peace of mind, we should all follow John Ralston and his daily Early Voting Blog in the Nevada Independent, which you quote. For all things about Nevada elections, Ralston is the pre-eminent expert! That said, he will intentionally make some dramatic statements.
https://nitter.poast.org/RalstonReports/
https://thenevadaindependent.com/article/the-early-voting-blog-2024
A late mail drop from Clark got the Democrats back on track. It happened after Ralston"s message
Ralston has also admitted that mail vote and the huge growth of NPAs in the electorate in NV makes his model harder to
It seems odd because the Democratic House PAC moved money out of the three House races in NV and the Republicans in the Senate race are using the hybrid spending instead of all in. If Harris was worried about Nevada in what they are seeing, I don’t think the other organizations would be pulling out.
Yeah I simply don't see how Senator and 3 Reps are seen as near safe while a lot of people are down on Harris's chances. I guess that did essentially happen in 2022 when we lost the Gov race, but it hard for me to see much of a divergence this year.
The Governor lost closely because of covid restrictions(which were absolutely needed)
And Dems win everything else, I believe, albeit narrowly.
FWIW, in terms of Registration edge in EV, Dems did not have a large edge in 2020 or 2022.
Something around 3 ots in 2020 IIRC. 40k votes. 13k on lower volume in 2022.
I wonder how much of this is simply the fact that Clark sent out ballots a week later than usual.
Wait, really? That could definitely be a factor