In 2020, Trump beat Biden here 51-48%; so with abortion as an issue(among others of course), it's not a crazy notion; however, the Harris campaign has not made any indication that they are seriously considering going for Florida's EVs; but Murcasel-Powell is running a serious statewide race
In 2020, Trump beat Biden here 51-48%; so with abortion as an issue(among others of course), it's not a crazy notion; however, the Harris campaign has not made any indication that they are seriously considering going for Florida's EVs; but Murcasel-Powell is running a serious statewide race
Scott has cleared the 50% threshold exactly 1 time in his entire political career; in 2018 he wound up with a whopping 50.06%; so, an upset is not entirely impossible
Yeah, Scott's election wins haven't exactly been remarkable. If he can barely even win those elections, that's a sign of how vulnerable he is in the Senate race.
Maybe Harris shouldn't go to Florida, but perhaps Walz should. Not every election is 2016, though. Clinton visited several reach states in 1996 and won most of them. Now this is definitely not going to be the same as 1996, but if the Harris campaign has really good reasons to be confident going into the second half of this month, a trip to Florida shouldn't be out of the question.
I deleted this to fix a weird typo, and then I didn't see the reply, so apologies if it gets posted twice.
The 2022 statewide campaign was nonexistent; the voter participation was historically bad on the Democratic side; anyone wants to give me D+ the 2022 Florida statewide spread in a wager? I am taking the bet
Yeah. I think of it like NV 2014. The Dems crashed bc they gave up on the Gov race and there wasnтАЩt enough institutional Dem support and voter turnout to prevent a collapse.
This time, Florida Democrats have a leader and the semblance of a state party organization, enthusiasm, tens of thousands of volunteers, candidates in just about every downticket race (this really matters!), a great Senate candidate against Rick Scott тАУ and a stellar Presidential candidate in Kamala Harris.
In 2020, Trump beat Biden here 51-48%; so with abortion as an issue(among others of course), it's not a crazy notion; however, the Harris campaign has not made any indication that they are seriously considering going for Florida's EVs; but Murcasel-Powell is running a serious statewide race
Agreed regarding Mucarsel-Powell's Senate race.
It could be possible though that she may end up winning the race while Democrats don't end up winning FL.
Scott has cleared the 50% threshold exactly 1 time in his entire political career; in 2018 he wound up with a whopping 50.06%; so, an upset is not entirely impossible
Yeah, Scott's election wins haven't exactly been remarkable. If he can barely even win those elections, that's a sign of how vulnerable he is in the Senate race.
Harris isn't making the Hillary mistake of getting diverted and ignoring the blue wall. If we lose Pennsylvania, were screwed.
Agreed; Pennsylvania has always been the 'key stone' state imo
She has enough money where she cooks spend in both FL and PA.
could тАУ but I read what you meant.
Maybe Harris shouldn't go to Florida, but perhaps Walz should. Not every election is 2016, though. Clinton visited several reach states in 1996 and won most of them. Now this is definitely not going to be the same as 1996, but if the Harris campaign has really good reasons to be confident going into the second half of this month, a trip to Florida shouldn't be out of the question.
I deleted this to fix a weird typo, and then I didn't see the reply, so apologies if it gets posted twice.
I think you make a great point;Coach Walz would draw crazy crowds and give the locals a boost if nothing else(he's actually funny when they let him)
IтАЩm not sure how much the abortion referendum will matter. Dobbs didnтАЩt really seem to help much in FL in 2022.
The 2022 statewide campaign was nonexistent; the voter participation was historically bad on the Democratic side; anyone wants to give me D+ the 2022 Florida statewide spread in a wager? I am taking the bet
Yeah. I think of it like NV 2014. The Dems crashed bc they gave up on the Gov race and there wasnтАЩt enough institutional Dem support and voter turnout to prevent a collapse.
This time, Florida Democrats have a leader and the semblance of a state party organization, enthusiasm, tens of thousands of volunteers, candidates in just about every downticket race (this really matters!), a great Senate candidate against Rick Scott тАУ and a stellar Presidential candidate in Kamala Harris.
Best state party work I've seen since the 'Old He Coon' Lawton Chiles was our Governor