In 2022, Gov. Polis won CO-08 by 8 points and Sen. Bennet by around 4 points, so congresswoman Yadira Caraveo (D) is a strong favorite, especially with presidential cycle and Trump at the top of the ticket. I'm not too worried about this seat!! 💙🇺🇲
In 2022, Gov. Polis won CO-08 by 8 points and Sen. Bennet by around 4 points, so congresswoman Yadira Caraveo (D) is a strong favorite, especially with presidential cycle and Trump at the top of the ticket. I'm not too worried about this seat!! 💙🇺🇲
Maybe, but she now has the advantage of incumbency in a presidential cycle with Trump at the top of the ticket, which is why I'm confident she'll be fine!! 💙🇺🇲
I love your confidence but note that Sabato, Cook, and Inside Politics (Gonzales) each rate fewer than a dozen seats as toss-up, and each one rates this one to be so.
The fact that she won by 0.7 despite Bennett winning it by 4 and Polis by 8 is my concern. Hopefully, Harris wins the district by 5 or more and incumbency helps.
But of course, Bennett and Polis were incumbents. She didn't run behind them because of any weakness but becauser she was less well-known/not the incumbent.
Fair point. The R in the CU Regents race won the seat 51.7-48.3 so I think it's fair to say the libertarian may have won the race for Caraveo last time but I agree incumbency should help her to some degree this time and I expect Harris to win the seat at least narrowly. It will be close.
In 2022, Gov. Polis won CO-08 by 8 points and Sen. Bennet by around 4 points, so congresswoman Yadira Caraveo (D) is a strong favorite, especially with presidential cycle and Trump at the top of the ticket. I'm not too worried about this seat!! 💙🇺🇲
What percentage does the Libertarian House candidate usually get in this district?
In 2022, the result was:
Yadira Caraveo (D): 48%.
Barbara Kirkmeyer (R): 48%.
Richard "Dan" Ward (L): 4%.
This was rounded up; by the way!! 💙🇺🇲
Thanks. So this is a real threat.
Maybe, but she now has the advantage of incumbency in a presidential cycle with Trump at the top of the ticket, which is why I'm confident she'll be fine!! 💙🇺🇲
I love your confidence but note that Sabato, Cook, and Inside Politics (Gonzales) each rate fewer than a dozen seats as toss-up, and each one rates this one to be so.
The fact that she won by 0.7 despite Bennett winning it by 4 and Polis by 8 is my concern. Hopefully, Harris wins the district by 5 or more and incumbency helps.
But of course, Bennett and Polis were incumbents. She didn't run behind them because of any weakness but becauser she was less well-known/not the incumbent.
Fair point. The R in the CU Regents race won the seat 51.7-48.3 so I think it's fair to say the libertarian may have won the race for Caraveo last time but I agree incumbency should help her to some degree this time and I expect Harris to win the seat at least narrowly. It will be close.
Imo this is a bellwether type race; winning these marginal seats are the key to the majority