5 Comments
User's avatar
⭠ Return to thread
GoUBears's avatar

With hundreds up for re-election (thanks NH), it looks like we only had three incumbent legislators go down yesterday:

DE-House, 15 (D): Kamela Smith 53%, Valerie Longhurst (elected 2004) 47%, progressive beats business-friendly speaker

NH-House, Stafford 3 (R): Susan DeRoy 71%, David Bickford (elected 2022, plus 16 years previously) 29%, 'constitutionalist' beats Olympia Snowe-esque moderate

RI-House, 42 (D): Kelsey Coletta 42%, Edward Cardillo (elected 2020) 40%, Dennis Cardillo 17%, progressive beats conservadem and his nephew

Plus one headed at least to recount:

DE-House, 36 (R): Bryan Shupe (elected 2018) 50.3%, Patrick Smith 49.7%, moderate leads extremist by 12 votes

Expand full comment
staelis's avatar

Was there some kind of family drama reason the two Cardillo's ran against each other and split their vote share?

Expand full comment
GoUBears's avatar

Good old-fashioned, generational family feud, with similar results to the 2022 primary (E Cardillo 41%, Coletta 36%, D Cardillo 23%):

https://turnto10.com/politics/edward-dennis-cardillo-johnston-rhode-island-democratic-primary-house-political-election-district-family-feud-august-2-2022

Expand full comment
GoUBears's avatar

It's also worth noting that we could easily lose the seat; it's a Johnston-based seat that went Obama+12 --> Obama +20 --> Trump+12 --> Trump+7. Cardillo's predecessor won by 44 in 2004 and then was unopposed seven times in a similar district; Cardillo won by 1.7% in 2020 and 4.9% in 2022.

Expand full comment
David Nir's avatar

This is a great report. Thank you.

Expand full comment