Maybe just noise but I too can’t see an obvious reason for GA to be Harris’s worst state from the group. I worry most about NV but as always PA way too close for comfort
If Harris wins NC, she's already won GA.. Imo..those are the 2 states out of the Big 7 that are must Trump states.. And honestly, Harris can actually afford to lose them, while Trump simply can't
The British poll without crosstab being published, sounds like a joke to me. I don’t know if they have any understanding of American electorate to operate here. Four years ago R&W, another reputable British pollster, had completely wacko findings.
Siena already acknowledged their sample might be a bit red leaning. If they considered all ATL metro counties voted Blue as inner suburbs, and rest as north Georgia or outer suburbs, then the sample is about 6pt less fair share of inner suburbs and 6pt too much outer/north. Don’t try unskew it, but if you do, you get a literal tie. LOL.
I'm a bit confused about GA as well. I suppose there must be a race/gender hesitation among 2020 Biden voters there?
Maybe just noise but I too can’t see an obvious reason for GA to be Harris’s worst state from the group. I worry most about NV but as always PA way too close for comfort
If Harris wins NC, she's already won GA.. Imo..those are the 2 states out of the Big 7 that are must Trump states.. And honestly, Harris can actually afford to lose them, while Trump simply can't
The British poll without crosstab being published, sounds like a joke to me. I don’t know if they have any understanding of American electorate to operate here. Four years ago R&W, another reputable British pollster, had completely wacko findings.
Siena already acknowledged their sample might be a bit red leaning. If they considered all ATL metro counties voted Blue as inner suburbs, and rest as north Georgia or outer suburbs, then the sample is about 6pt less fair share of inner suburbs and 6pt too much outer/north. Don’t try unskew it, but if you do, you get a literal tie. LOL.