NY-17. John Sullivan III seems like an interesting entrant into the (now five-way) primary to take on Mike Lawler. And of course, there's the possibility that Lawler runs for governor instead.
NY-17. John Sullivan III seems like an interesting entrant into the (now five-way) primary to take on Mike Lawler. And of course, there's the possibility that Lawler runs for governor instead.
You know, there might be somewhat of a stampede of retirements in easily flippable seats in a Trump midterm, especially so if they’re without an incumbent. Imagine Bacon retires, Lawler runs for Governor. That might be the spark needed for GOP incumbents in swing seats to leave up or down, but leave in order to avoid being defeated in 2026.
Paul Ryan retired because his agenda of libertarian economics with free trade, privatizing social security, cutting welfare while pursuing moderate social policies like immigration reform was dead. His district is still republican.
I'm not sure that's really the issue as to why Ryan retired although I have no doubt he was limited in what he could do as House Speaker as far as his original agenda.
I recall Ryan was very much turned off by Trump, his antics and influence on the GOP to the degree where it was all about loyalty and not about governing. He had no future as House Speaker or at all in Congress whether it be his original agenda or anything else. Ryan also did not want the job as House Speaker and was pushed to do that under pressure.
NY-17. John Sullivan III seems like an interesting entrant into the (now five-way) primary to take on Mike Lawler. And of course, there's the possibility that Lawler runs for governor instead.
You know, there might be somewhat of a stampede of retirements in easily flippable seats in a Trump midterm, especially so if they’re without an incumbent. Imagine Bacon retires, Lawler runs for Governor. That might be the spark needed for GOP incumbents in swing seats to leave up or down, but leave in order to avoid being defeated in 2026.
That's been a big factor in past waves.
Yep. The Paul Ryan retirement was a *big* harbinger.
Paul Ryan retired because his agenda of libertarian economics with free trade, privatizing social security, cutting welfare while pursuing moderate social policies like immigration reform was dead. His district is still republican.
Yeah. He knew he reached his peak and got out while he could before having to sacrifice his morals in order to stay Speaker.
I'm not sure that's really the issue as to why Ryan retired although I have no doubt he was limited in what he could do as House Speaker as far as his original agenda.
I recall Ryan was very much turned off by Trump, his antics and influence on the GOP to the degree where it was all about loyalty and not about governing. He had no future as House Speaker or at all in Congress whether it be his original agenda or anything else. Ryan also did not want the job as House Speaker and was pushed to do that under pressure.
Bacon is looking to retire as per the news.
Could make NE-02 easier for Democrats to pick up if this is the case.