It’s hard to assess, and I’ve said consistently this year that it feels like we’re flying a bit blind. It seems - from stuff like Nate Cohn’s article on poll adjustments, and Marquette running a R+5 sample in Wisconsin this week - that pollsters are trying to adjust for 2016/20, but who really k…
It’s hard to assess, and I’ve said consistently this year that it feels like we’re flying a bit blind. It seems - from stuff like Nate Cohn’s article on poll adjustments, and Marquette running a R+5 sample in Wisconsin this week - that pollsters are trying to adjust for 2016/20, but who really knows. Other indicators seem a bit more bullish in our direction, but they’re rarely totally dispositive.
I’d say I’m cautiously optimistic, but bracing myself for disappointment
I don’t make predictions as a general rule.
It’s hard to assess, and I’ve said consistently this year that it feels like we’re flying a bit blind. It seems - from stuff like Nate Cohn’s article on poll adjustments, and Marquette running a R+5 sample in Wisconsin this week - that pollsters are trying to adjust for 2016/20, but who really knows. Other indicators seem a bit more bullish in our direction, but they’re rarely totally dispositive.
I’d say I’m cautiously optimistic, but bracing myself for disappointment