I'm not sure I'd go quite that far, but I do think she ran an above average campaign given the situation we were in. Did a pretty good job clawing back our losses among high-propensity voters. Couldn't overcome the undertow among low-propensity ones.
Maybe. But you know the economy suddenly improves in the eyes of his supporters when he wins elections, and few seem to blame him for the apocalyptic conditions he left the country in in 2020.
The economy was decent in 2018 and he still lost 40 house seats under a more gerrymandered national map. Nothing is guaranteed but plenty of reason to have hope he can lose Congress even if the economy doesn't go into the toilet.
I don't see that being worth anything by the midterms but we'll see. I'd also say the Democrats coming back from 215 instead of 194 is a bigger net positive than the PV margin.
well put..this election was over before it began(imo Harris did the best she could)
I'm not sure I'd go quite that far, but I do think she ran an above average campaign given the situation we were in. Did a pretty good job clawing back our losses among high-propensity voters. Couldn't overcome the undertow among low-propensity ones.
She was weighted down by Biden and perceived inflation.. I'm confident that Trump will quickly f things up
He will, but how much will voters blame him and other Republicans, and how much will their opinions even matter?
If he screws up the economy (i.e. recession or another inflationary surge), he'll get blamed. Just like we did.
Maybe. But you know the economy suddenly improves in the eyes of his supporters when he wins elections, and few seem to blame him for the apocalyptic conditions he left the country in in 2020.
The economy was decent in 2018 and he still lost 40 house seats under a more gerrymandered national map. Nothing is guaranteed but plenty of reason to have hope he can lose Congress even if the economy doesn't go into the toilet.
He had lost the popular vote in 2016. Things were different.
How many voters in 2018 or in 2026 cared/will care about the previous popular vote percentage? Why do you think it will have any impact at all?
If nothing else than that it's caused Democrats to behave differently and treat Trump's win this time as more legitimate.
I don't see that being worth anything by the midterms but we'll see. I'd also say the Democrats coming back from 215 instead of 194 is a bigger net positive than the PV margin.
Great question