If the poll is right, Mr. Moreno will need more than undecided Trump voters to break his way. Mr. Brown would still lead by two points, 50-48, if voters who are currently undecided in the Senate race chose the candidate who aligns with
the party of their presidential vote choice. Instead, Mr. Brown leads because he has th…
If the poll is right, Mr. Moreno will need more than undecided Trump voters to break his way. Mr. Brown would still lead by two points, 50-48, if voters who are currently undecided in the Senate race chose the candidate who aligns with
the party of their presidential vote choice. Instead, Mr. Brown leads because he has the support of 10 percent of Mr. Trump's backers. To win, Mr. Moreno will need to pull some of that support back.
Undecided Trump voters going their way to Moreno would have to do so for a good reason.
It's not crystal clear what exactly Moreno has to offer for them. Sure, JD Vance could campaign for him, but it might not make a difference for the undecided voters.
From the article:
If the poll is right, Mr. Moreno will need more than undecided Trump voters to break his way. Mr. Brown would still lead by two points, 50-48, if voters who are currently undecided in the Senate race chose the candidate who aligns with
the party of their presidential vote choice. Instead, Mr. Brown leads because he has the support of 10 percent of Mr. Trump's backers. To win, Mr. Moreno will need to pull some of that support back.
Undecided Trump voters going their way to Moreno would have to do so for a good reason.
It's not crystal clear what exactly Moreno has to offer for them. Sure, JD Vance could campaign for him, but it might not make a difference for the undecided voters.
The good reason being that they're bigoted and support Republican extremists. That's really easy to imagine!
Yes but if Trump is on the ballot, such voters are likely to vote in higher numbers for him vs. Moreno.
Undervoting is common, regardless of party.
True.
Nice calculation and it gets Brown to 50.