Yeah. I'll take these on balance given that Siena has been a couple points right of the averages since late 2023 (possibly overcompensation but of course we don't know). Even if they're exactly on, we're at 270.
Yeah. I'll take these on balance given that Siena has been a couple points right of the averages since late 2023 (possibly overcompensation but of course we don't know). Even if they're exactly on, we're at 270.
Trump +6 in Ohio is consistent with Harris +4 in Pennsylvania which their other poll found. For whatever reason NYT seems to be getting results comparable to other polls in the northern states but better for Trump nationally and in the sunbelt states.
Yeah. I'll take these on balance given that Siena has been a couple points right of the averages since late 2023 (possibly overcompensation but of course we don't know). Even if they're exactly on, we're at 270.
They seem like outliers in comparison to Siena's numbers for other states this time.
Trump +6 in Ohio is consistent with Harris +4 in Pennsylvania which their other poll found. For whatever reason NYT seems to be getting results comparable to other polls in the northern states but better for Trump nationally and in the sunbelt states.