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dragonfire5004's avatar

Way too late for most people to read about this, but for anyone still around, there’s 2 things that stand out here, 1 being a shock, the other more expected.

https://archive.ph/QhowK

House Majority Forward, the nonprofit affiliated with House Democratic leadership and House Majority PAC, will start running digital ads next week attacking House Republicans voting to cut Medicaid spending, according to a spokesperson for the group. The ads will appear in 25 battleground districts in California, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, New York, North Carolina, Virginia and Wisconsin.

The shock: Missouri. This is the first time it’s been mentioned by Dem operatives as a target seat as far as I’m aware. The closest district is probably (?) MO-02 with a pretty strong incumbent GOP rep Ann Wagner. That they’re spending cash on it this early means they think a 2nd Trump term can completely break away the still red Republican suburban districts that haven’t shifted towards Democrats very much up until now. Or they have data showing that it’s winnable. Or maybe they think she’ll retire.

The more expected from previous articles, but still good to see is the party investing in Iowa, which they haven’t really done since 2018 except for IA-03 (and we all know how close that got the state blue). They sense opportunity in old Democratic held districts among the working class the party has been bleeding. Or they have data for it.

Good to see something like this from the party. The strategy is to use what got Trump elected twice against him, everywhere (media). That only happens if you go out and frame the debate before Republicans can.

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PollJunkie's avatar

https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2025/05/23/ricketts-gets-early-ads-from-group-tied-to-senate-gop-in-potential-osborn-race/

Republicans have already started campaigning for the Nebraska Senate race. As someone who believes that Texas and Alaska can be flipped in 2026, Nebraska's fundamentals are just too Republican to be flipped imo but Osborn's entire 2024 campaign was antithesis to and about opposing the big, beautiful bill before the bill itself so maybe there's an outside chance. He lost by 6.5 points, massively overperforming Democrats.

https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/nathan-sage-democrats-iowa-senate

Nathan Sage was the only candidate who lead Ernst after the candidates' backgrounds were made known to potential voters. He's sought to emulate Osborn.

Note: Sharing an article from a site doesn't mean I share its polarizing opinions, I shared it because I found it the to be the first article about poll and the only one containing the candidate's own perspective.

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