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I’m excited to get a read on Alaska next week! It should show just how competitive the Senate and gubernatorial races actually are.

I am rooting for Tom Begich to come in a solid first place and for three Republicans to get 2-4. I hope JKT and Walker drop if they barely come in the top 4. Nate Silver had a good analysis showing the huge advantage of a single nominee in a top 4 system. If Begich was the only Dem, he’d probably win the general just based off of vote exhaustion.

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