BTW, rural places in SC as a whole, had even bigger shift than the rural east in NC. It is just not in a battleground and less noted.
Used to be 2/3 of the R edge in SC are from 6 upstate counties along I85. Democrats are behind in other urban/suburban places, Lowcountry, Myrtle, Augusta and Charlotte exurbs, and slightly ahead in Columbi…
BTW, rural places in SC as a whole, had even bigger shift than the rural east in NC. It is just not in a battleground and less noted.
Used to be 2/3 of the R edge in SC are from 6 upstate counties along I85. Democrats are behind in other urban/suburban places, Lowcountry, Myrtle, Augusta and Charlotte exurbs, and slightly ahead in Columbia urban area, adding to the other 1/3. Rural small town SC which is only a bit over 1/4 of the state was almost always in parity, with a lot of Black voters.
This year, Harris didn’t lose Upstate much worse. But the deficits were only about half of the whole state. Slides a bit in other urban areas. The biggest drop from rural SC. Lost some 10pt, close to 65000 vote margin.
NC’s inner coastal plains are about twice this size. It only moved about 45000 vote margin. The whole GA “rural” moved about 70000 votes, that is including a lot of northern counties and coasts with significant inflows, which made them much less “rural” nature as the case of NC coasts.
Literally talking about the group of voters, the older ones among them saved Biden’s flailing 2020 primary campaign, and most of them came out in the general again in large numbers for him and Harrison.
Yet 4 years later, a 10pt margin means about 10% or more supposedly most loyal D voters just sat out.
I figured lethargic black turnout was perhaps the biggest issue as to why Trump had the best showing in South Carolina since George W. Bush in 1988....with the same probably true in Mississippi as well. On the other hand, I seem to recall reading that South Carolina was the only state to get "more white" during the last census.
I think SC and FL are the two with a significant increase of non Hispanic White population. Given FL is much larger and diverse, not surprised SC is the only one getting Whiter.
BTW, rural places in SC as a whole, had even bigger shift than the rural east in NC. It is just not in a battleground and less noted.
Used to be 2/3 of the R edge in SC are from 6 upstate counties along I85. Democrats are behind in other urban/suburban places, Lowcountry, Myrtle, Augusta and Charlotte exurbs, and slightly ahead in Columbia urban area, adding to the other 1/3. Rural small town SC which is only a bit over 1/4 of the state was almost always in parity, with a lot of Black voters.
This year, Harris didn’t lose Upstate much worse. But the deficits were only about half of the whole state. Slides a bit in other urban areas. The biggest drop from rural SC. Lost some 10pt, close to 65000 vote margin.
NC’s inner coastal plains are about twice this size. It only moved about 45000 vote margin. The whole GA “rural” moved about 70000 votes, that is including a lot of northern counties and coasts with significant inflows, which made them much less “rural” nature as the case of NC coasts.
Literally talking about the group of voters, the older ones among them saved Biden’s flailing 2020 primary campaign, and most of them came out in the general again in large numbers for him and Harrison.
Yet 4 years later, a 10pt margin means about 10% or more supposedly most loyal D voters just sat out.
I figured lethargic black turnout was perhaps the biggest issue as to why Trump had the best showing in South Carolina since George W. Bush in 1988....with the same probably true in Mississippi as well. On the other hand, I seem to recall reading that South Carolina was the only state to get "more white" during the last census.
I think SC and FL are the two with a significant increase of non Hispanic White population. Given FL is much larger and diverse, not surprised SC is the only one getting Whiter.