I wanted to hear what districts others here had in mind before chiming in with my own. One district that definitely comes to my mind here is VA-01. As Mark mentioned above, the Richmond suburbs continue to trend Democratic - Harris +9 in Chesterfield is amazing, and Henrico would've swung Democratic as well if not for the turnout drop am…
I wanted to hear what districts others here had in mind before chiming in with my own. One district that definitely comes to my mind here is VA-01. As Mark mentioned above, the Richmond suburbs continue to trend Democratic - Harris +9 in Chesterfield is amazing, and Henrico would've swung Democratic as well if not for the turnout drop among African-Americans. The district also contains James City, which continues to trend Democratic, and even Hanover isn't quite as red as it once was. If the Dem could get solid margins out of Henrico, Chesterfield, James City, and Williamsburg, those areas might be able to outvote the rural counties of the Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula. After all, the suburban areas in Henrico and Chesterfield are the same areas that helped Abigail Spanberger defeat Dave Brat in 2018.
Oops, I didn't see this comment before posting mine. I think a surprise pickup could also come from TX-24 or one of the other districts mentioned in this thread on DKE:
Yeah, the 24th, along with the 38th, are pretty much the only Republican-held districts in Texas that don't include any deep-red rural counties to make them redder. I agree that Dems have a bright future in both of them.
I wanted to hear what districts others here had in mind before chiming in with my own. One district that definitely comes to my mind here is VA-01. As Mark mentioned above, the Richmond suburbs continue to trend Democratic - Harris +9 in Chesterfield is amazing, and Henrico would've swung Democratic as well if not for the turnout drop among African-Americans. The district also contains James City, which continues to trend Democratic, and even Hanover isn't quite as red as it once was. If the Dem could get solid margins out of Henrico, Chesterfield, James City, and Williamsburg, those areas might be able to outvote the rural counties of the Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula. After all, the suburban areas in Henrico and Chesterfield are the same areas that helped Abigail Spanberger defeat Dave Brat in 2018.
Oops, I didn't see this comment before posting mine. I think a surprise pickup could also come from TX-24 or one of the other districts mentioned in this thread on DKE:
https://www.dailykos.com/comments/2137503/85046750#comment_85046750
Yeah, the 24th, along with the 38th, are pretty much the only Republican-held districts in Texas that don't include any deep-red rural counties to make them redder. I agree that Dems have a bright future in both of them.