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Zero Cool's avatar

I anticipate IA will have 1-2 surprise pickups in the House for Democrats depending on the political environment heading to the 2026 midterms. Democrats could pick up two House seats in the state that were close in the 2024 elections and possibly get 1-2 more. IA-04 used to be closer as when Steve King was still in the House and went more nuts.

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Mike in MD's avatar

I think IA-01 and 3 are both decent targets, but both have been close/competitive enough that they wouldn't really be surprises. IA-02 is a possible surprise, and 4 is probably impossible since GOP primary voters yeeted King in 2020.

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Darren Monaghan's avatar

Miller-Meeks & Nunn should really be sitting ducks if 2026 is anything like 2006 or 2018!! ЁЯТЩЁЯЗ║ЁЯЗ▓

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Guy's avatar

WouldnтАЩt call beating Miller-Meeks and Nunn a тАЬsurprise pickupтАЭ. Hinson though, sure.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Right but the races that Democrats nearly won aren't what I'm referring to as surprise pickups.

IA-04 would be the biggest surprise pickup as it's the reddest House district in the state.

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