Someone has uploaded California Prop 50 precinct results into DRA. And the districts that were swingy in the 2024 election have become much more secure this year. Gray's district went from Harris +0.5 to Yes +17, Valadao's district went from Trump +1.6 to Yes +19, and Issa's district went from Harris +3 to Yes +12.
The only districts where Harris did better than Yes are in NorCal, including Districts 1, 2, and 3 - not too surprising since those areas were sliced and diced in the new gerrymander. The closest of all the Democratic districts in the election is the 3rd, which was Yes +8.6. (It was Harris +10.) This is probably Kevin Kiley's best bet to remain in Congress, and he might have a fighting chance here in a Republican-leaning year, but in 2026 he would lose even this district.
In summary, Democrats are definitely more likely to gain 5 seats from this map than Republicans are to gain 5 seats from their new Texas map.
AL-Lt. Gov: State Rep. Philip Ensler is in as a Democrat, and was recruited by gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones rather than retire from politics and move to New York.
Someone has uploaded California Prop 50 precinct results into DRA. And the districts that were swingy in the 2024 election have become much more secure this year. Gray's district went from Harris +0.5 to Yes +17, Valadao's district went from Trump +1.6 to Yes +19, and Issa's district went from Harris +3 to Yes +12.
The only districts where Harris did better than Yes are in NorCal, including Districts 1, 2, and 3 - not too surprising since those areas were sliced and diced in the new gerrymander. The closest of all the Democratic districts in the election is the 3rd, which was Yes +8.6. (It was Harris +10.) This is probably Kevin Kiley's best bet to remain in Congress, and he might have a fighting chance here in a Republican-leaning year, but in 2026 he would lose even this district.
In summary, Democrats are definitely more likely to gain 5 seats from this map than Republicans are to gain 5 seats from their new Texas map.
https://alabamareflector.com/2025/12/18/phillip-ensler-to-seek-democratic-nomination-for-lieutenant-governor/
AL-Lt. Gov: State Rep. Philip Ensler is in as a Democrat, and was recruited by gubernatorial candidate Doug Jones rather than retire from politics and move to New York.