I gotta say no one should ever take DDHQ's "calls" seriously again. They have no standard I can see beyond "call a race if someone is ahead by 5 points with half the vote in", they've had constant near-mistakes where they call races early that end up going down to the wire, and then there's their outright incorrect calls, like last night, Seattle mayor, the 2020 MO-01 Dem primary, 2018 CA-21...their "we get 99% of calls right" metric is useless, sure I can call West Virginia and Massachusetts too. But if they can't be trusted to be right in close races, then...what's even the point? Blowing a call every couple years (with multiple other near misses they pretend don't happen) is an unacceptable rate, if it even happens a single time it's a disaster for your credibility and should prompt operational changes to ensure it never happens again. And for these mistakes to keep happening years after all of us became highly aware of the fact that the early and late vote counts can be radically different...embarrassing!
It is beyond clear that even our normie establishment/regular Dem voters are MAD mad at Democratic leaders in our party and willing to support unconventional candidates who embody the rage that they feel every day when they never had even considered doing before Trump 2, let alone actually voting for them.
That said, the average Malinowski voter likes Mejia and vice versa, so it’s not really much of a party split, just a fierce debate in our party over who our fighters should be against the MAGA/GOP fascist autocracy. The Democrats of old can’t harness that surging energy in our base, but the progressive working class left can.
What we're hearing: A senior House Democrat, asked if members were freaking out about their own primaries in the wake of the shock result, told Axios, simply, "Yes."
"I definitely think this points to progressive anti-establishment energy," acknowledged a third House Democrat, a moderate in a swing-district.
I gotta say no one should ever take DDHQ's "calls" seriously again. They have no standard I can see beyond "call a race if someone is ahead by 5 points with half the vote in", they've had constant near-mistakes where they call races early that end up going down to the wire, and then there's their outright incorrect calls, like last night, Seattle mayor, the 2020 MO-01 Dem primary, 2018 CA-21...their "we get 99% of calls right" metric is useless, sure I can call West Virginia and Massachusetts too. But if they can't be trusted to be right in close races, then...what's even the point? Blowing a call every couple years (with multiple other near misses they pretend don't happen) is an unacceptable rate, if it even happens a single time it's a disaster for your credibility and should prompt operational changes to ensure it never happens again. And for these mistakes to keep happening years after all of us became highly aware of the fact that the early and late vote counts can be radically different...embarrassing!
Final thoughts: https://imgur.com/a/tj8sutK
It is beyond clear that even our normie establishment/regular Dem voters are MAD mad at Democratic leaders in our party and willing to support unconventional candidates who embody the rage that they feel every day when they never had even considered doing before Trump 2, let alone actually voting for them.
That said, the average Malinowski voter likes Mejia and vice versa, so it’s not really much of a party split, just a fierce debate in our party over who our fighters should be against the MAGA/GOP fascist autocracy. The Democrats of old can’t harness that surging energy in our base, but the progressive working class left can.
https://archive.ph/vUhky
https://www.axios.com/2026/02/06/new-jersey-mejia-election-primary-democrats-left
What we're hearing: A senior House Democrat, asked if members were freaking out about their own primaries in the wake of the shock result, told Axios, simply, "Yes."
"I definitely think this points to progressive anti-establishment energy," acknowledged a third House Democrat, a moderate in a swing-district.