26 Comments
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Jeff C's avatar

Nice to be able to see, but I can't find the link to download the spreadsheet.

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David Nir's avatar

We will unlock that soon!

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Jeff C's avatar

Yikes, I see only 19 districts where Harris did any better than Biden.

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axlee's avatar

5 of them in Georgia, 4 in Washington, 3 each in NC and CO. 1 each in WI/MN/VA.

I somehow missed the last one?

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Jeff C's avatar

There's also an irrelevant one in Louisiana where Steve Scalise's overwhelming margin was SLIGHTLY less in 2024. (And a couple of the others were MTG & Lauren Boebert, with slightly diminished landslides, not really meaningful in the larger picture.)

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axlee's avatar

Losing less in exurbs like MTG’s district, matters a lot for statewide races.

Probably didn’t go enough to make a difference last Nov. But would be a crucial piece of the puzzle come 2026.

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

In Colorado I figured the 5th and 7th moved a little left. I was surprised the 4th nudged ever so slightly to the left.

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Philip's avatar

Yes. This information is so valuable but makes for grim reading. Not nearly as much fun to pour over as 2020 was.

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pixxer1's avatar

OMG there are actually two districts bluer than mine? (Lateefah Simon/Barbara Lee). I'm impressed! My eyes might have glazed over and skipped a number here and there... Thanks for these numbers, guys!

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axlee's avatar

And DC of course.

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Zero Cool's avatar

I'm based in CA-12 as well! Prior to Lateefah Simon being elected last year, Barbara Lee last got re-elected back in 2022 by 90.5%.

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pixxer1's avatar

We are so spoiled :) We moved here during Ron Dellums' tenure, and I was skeptical that anyone could live up to that legacy - and then, Barbara Lee, and you know that story. Lateefah Simon is not well known yet, but I met her years ago when she ran for something like BART board, and her ability to articulate a progressive position cleanly and clearly for potential constituents was dazzling. I am confident she will live up to the legacy.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Simon’s only a few months as a freshman House member so she’s got time to build her image and relations in the CA-12 community.

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pixxer1's avatar

Of course, yes, she's new at this job, but a lot of people have voted for her previously in her other positions around here. Real Downballot aficionados - the Vote The Whole Ballot crowd ;) The trumpling a couple blocks down my street (in west BERKELEY) won't care for her, but I expect a lot of the district will be very pleased.

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Philip's avatar

What are they? I could only find Pennsylvania-2 and D.C.

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Philip's avatar

Oh! I see, Washington-7.

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pixxer1's avatar

We're the ones who are kind of flummoxed by the instruction "write your congressperson!" to make sure they will vote the way you want them to. But we do drop a note every once in awhile saying "Love ya - keep up the great work" :)

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Camille Desmoulins's avatar

This is great, thank you!

Do think there's a possibility we'll see results by state legislative district updated from the now really old DKE versions?

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David Nir's avatar

It is on our agenda!

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ian silverii's avatar

This is extremely useful, any chance you could add the 2024 congressional margin in a column? That way we could easily see candidate over/underperformance relative to the top of the ticket and that would be very interesting!

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Steve Katz's avatar

Is the NYC pull-out missing in the cartogram (I see it in the “traditional” version)

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David Nir's avatar

It isn't necessary because the idea behind the cartogram is to make all districts visible, since they're all the same size. That said, NY illustrates the tradeoff the cartogram requires us to make, since the NYC districts all appear to be "upstate"! (This is why we also produce traditional maps.)

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Ken Vastola's avatar

Something isn't right here. NYC basically doesn't show up in the first map. And the results in the two maps don't match.

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David Nir's avatar

The cartogram shows each district as equally sized, at the expense of geographic accuracy.

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Ken Vastola's avatar

Thank you. I hadn't realized just distorted the map was because it kept the shape of the states.

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Eric Foster's avatar

I have a question, are you all able to generate 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012, 2010 and 2008 results for Congressional Districts based upon the current 2024 Congressional district boundaries? It would be interesting to see how these Congressional Districts have shifted since 2008 based upon today's current lines. This can extend the apples to apples comparison beyond just the 2 presidential cycle. Is this a doable option?

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