My view on the 2024 elections, as of tonight.
Presidential [Biden v. Trump]: 226 Biden, 283 Trump, 29 Tossup; 183 ECVs in play
Presidential [Harris v. Trump]: 241 Harris 219 Trump, 78 Tossup; 192 ECVs in play
US Senate: 49 Dems, 50 GOP, 1 Tossup; 11 seats in play
Gubernatorial: Dems keep NC; NH Tossup
US House: 207 Dems, 206 GOP, 22 Tossups; 79 seats in play
https://jgibsondem.substack.com/p/my-2024-election-projections-09082024
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My view on the 2024 elections, as of tonight.
Presidential [Biden v. Trump]: 226 Biden, 283 Trump, 29 Tossup; 183 ECVs in play
Presidential [Harris v. Trump]: 241 Harris 219 Trump, 78 Tossup; 192 ECVs in play
US Senate: 49 Dems, 50 GOP, 1 Tossup; 11 seats in play
Gubernatorial: Dems keep NC; NH Tossup
US House: 207 Dems, 206 GOP, 22 Tossups; 79 seats in play
https://jgibsondem.substack.com/p/my-2024-election-projections-09082024