A few weeks ago we were tripping over Republicans over-examining crosstabs, and now we have a quality pollster telling us there is weakness in the electorate for Harris and.... we over examine one crosstab to justify what we THINK will be reality on election day. It seems many of us don't believe polls that give us warning signs. This is…
A few weeks ago we were tripping over Republicans over-examining crosstabs, and now we have a quality pollster telling us there is weakness in the electorate for Harris and.... we over examine one crosstab to justify what we THINK will be reality on election day. It seems many of us don't believe polls that give us warning signs. This is a quality poll. We should not assume it's off base. There is a reason that with all of this enthusiasm we are seeing the race is essentially tied. Harris is weaker somewhere. My guess is it's a little of the white men issue and also black men but she is making up for it with overall youth and probably Hispanic voters. That is why she has almost never been ahead by more despite the enthusiasm.
Perhaps this "enthusiasm" is just where we should be anyway and we are perceiving it as "overenthusiasm" because everyone had been "meh" about Clinton and Biden. (In 2020 we didn't vote FOR Biden so much as we we got a real taste of Trump.)
A few weeks ago we were tripping over Republicans over-examining crosstabs, and now we have a quality pollster telling us there is weakness in the electorate for Harris and.... we over examine one crosstab to justify what we THINK will be reality on election day. It seems many of us don't believe polls that give us warning signs. This is a quality poll. We should not assume it's off base. There is a reason that with all of this enthusiasm we are seeing the race is essentially tied. Harris is weaker somewhere. My guess is it's a little of the white men issue and also black men but she is making up for it with overall youth and probably Hispanic voters. That is why she has almost never been ahead by more despite the enthusiasm.
Perhaps this "enthusiasm" is just where we should be anyway and we are perceiving it as "overenthusiasm" because everyone had been "meh" about Clinton and Biden. (In 2020 we didn't vote FOR Biden so much as we we got a real taste of Trump.)
Actually I am doubtful of all polls currently; including this one
How do we *know* that this is a quality poll? How do we know that *any* poll is a quality poll?