Entirely possible the 2024 electorate looks different from the midterms and specials but nothing in them suggests the massive swings in the crosstabs with race and age. I won't predict much but I think the freakout over Gen Z men white or non-white leaping to the right from 2020 will be a dud and turnout will remain the bigger issue but we'll see.
I agree. I don't think young white men have suddenly become more racist, sexist and anti-LGBT, and I'd be really shocked if a smaller percentage of Black voters vote for Kamala Harris than voted for Joe Biden. We'll really suddenly get slews of Black voters opposing a mainstream Black Democrat in a general election? Maybe, but it doesn't pass the smell test.
I won't believe that AA number until I see real election results with that data; I haven't seen any actual election yet that would give me pause
Entirely possible the 2024 electorate looks different from the midterms and specials but nothing in them suggests the massive swings in the crosstabs with race and age. I won't predict much but I think the freakout over Gen Z men white or non-white leaping to the right from 2020 will be a dud and turnout will remain the bigger issue but we'll see.
You made my point; but better
I agree. I don't think young white men have suddenly become more racist, sexist and anti-LGBT, and I'd be really shocked if a smaller percentage of Black voters vote for Kamala Harris than voted for Joe Biden. We'll really suddenly get slews of Black voters opposing a mainstream Black Democrat in a general election? Maybe, but it doesn't pass the smell test.