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michaelflutist's avatar

Where are you getting that figure from? I feel like some pros have suggested 1% and maybe 2% at the outside.

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Jonathan's avatar

It's actually a pretty standard metric(case study's from past campaigns); I'm sure Larry Sabato and his associates have\will be posting on this at the Crystal Ball(I believe one of them is Emory professor Alan Abramowitz)

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Jonathan's avatar

Also, I'm thinking Kos might have mentioned this either yesterday or today; going to recheck

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Jonathan's avatar

Kos mentions it today in his post; another poster at Kos posts about today's presidential polling and brings this topic up as well, but he states the impact as being 2-4%(I have never seen the 2-4% metric ever used; it's generally agreed at 2-3% if funded, staffed, and executed properly)

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Jonathan's avatar

I should add further that the Trump campaign has outsourced it's entire field campaign to the grifters at Turning Point USA(which I speculate will be disastrous)

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