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Not sure if it was touched upon in yesterday's thread but really liking what I'm seeing out of Pennsylvania courtesy of USA Today's poll. Harris up 49-46 statewide but I like that they focused on two key areas in the state: usatoday.com/story/news…
Along with Harris' statewide edge over Trump, she leads in Erie and Northampton counties – …
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Not sure if it was touched upon in yesterday's thread but really liking what I'm seeing out of Pennsylvania courtesy of USA Today's poll. Harris up 49-46 statewide but I like that they focused on two key areas in the state: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/16/harris-trump-pennsylvania-poll/75236006007/
Along with Harris' statewide edge over Trump, she leads in Erie and Northampton counties – two bellwether counties that have historically predicted who carries the state – separate USA TODAY/Suffolk University polls of both found.
Harris leads in Northampton County, which includes the cities of Easton and Bethlehem in East Pennsylvania, 50%-45% over Trump. Biden carried Northampton 50%-49% in the 2020 election. Trump carried Northampton 50%-46% over Clinton in 2016.
In Northwest Pennsylvania, Harris leads Trump 48%-44% in Erie County, where Biden in 2020 won 50%-49% and Trump in 2016 won 49%-47%.
Three hundred likely voters were surveyed in both county polls, which have margins of error of 5.7 percentage points.
Helping drive Harris' advantage in Northampton – which boasts a Latino population that is 13% of the county's population – is the vice president's 60%-25% lead among Latino voters in the county. Yet the common denominator in both counties and Pennsylvania as a whole is Harris' dominance with female voters.
It should be emphasized that the Harris Camp is not taking anything for granted in PA and is likely running a strong GOTV game.
Harris could outperform Biden in PA. Of course, she and Walz have more freedom to campaign now that COVID-19 is no longer a factor in everything like it used to be.