I think Earle-Sears is going to get wiped out in Virginia, even if FDJT endorses her. Expect VA Dems to expand their majorities in the General Assembly and state Senate.
It's going to be 2019 all over again for Virginians.
Ok, so expanded majority in the General Assembly then. Spanberger should be able to push more Democratic priorities through and undo what Youngkin did via EO.
I generally push back on overly rosy predictions here, but I do think this race will border on Safe D, unless the national mood changes dramatically between now and then.
VA Gov Roanoke College poll: Spanberger 43 Earle-Sears 26
https://www.roanoke.edu/news/rc_poll_politics_may_2025
That’s a good sign.
I think Earle-Sears is going to get wiped out in Virginia, even if FDJT endorses her. Expect VA Dems to expand their majorities in the General Assembly and state Senate.
It's going to be 2019 all over again for Virginians.
State Senate is only up in the 3rd year of the 4 year cycle
Ok, so expanded majority in the General Assembly then. Spanberger should be able to push more Democratic priorities through and undo what Youngkin did via EO.
Semantic, but wouldn't it be the 4th year of the 4-year cycle?
1st year - Presidential (2024)
2nd year - Gov/HOD/local (2025)
3rd year - Midterms (2026)
4th year - St Senate/HOD/local (2027)
I think of presidential as the fourth year
2017*
Earle-Sears probably entered the whatever stage for a long time.
Margins are ridiculous but this race is Safe D. Military and fed workers in central/northern VA aren't going to vote for any T-aligned candidates.
I generally push back on overly rosy predictions here, but I do think this race will border on Safe D, unless the national mood changes dramatically between now and then.