I'm guessing nobody wanted to run. Chris Sununu's repeated wins and Ayotte filling the same niche to an extent (paired with a surprisingly strong 2024 win) probably scared most potential challengers off or made it feel like a waste of time. Fenton, the potential candidate mentioned below, is 37. He's very young and is probably content waiting until Ayotte retires and the state GOP doesn't have anymore "moderates" to run
Well, the Sununu family dynasty is real here and Kelly Ayotte is the other most high profile Republican not exactly MAGA (even though she’s quite conservative).
But at the same time, NH Democrats really should step up. The state hasn’t been won by the GOP at the presidential level since 2000 and Team Blue has occupied both Senate seats since 2017 (soon to extend to 2027 and beyond if Chris Pappas wins the Senate race).
The DCCC has added three new candidates to its Red to Blue list. They are:
- AK-AL: Bill Hill
- MI-07: Will Lawrence (finally)
- WI-01: Mitchell Berman
Glad to see Lawrence was finally added. Interesting that WI-01 is being targeted too — I didn’t think it was that vulnerable, and we weren’t able to recruit a really strong candidate.
Hallelujah. A judge blocked the anti-democratic overhaul of the Brooklyn Democratic Party rules. For those not in the loop, reform candidates snagged a majority of district leader positions in recent elections, which Party Chair Rodneyse Bichotte Hermelyn responded to by attempting to change the party rules to add more leaders (thereby undoing the win). This move was so brazenly anti-democratic, even Jay Jacobs, Chuck Schumer, and Hakeem Jeffries opposed it.
Glad to see the courts fighting back. Maybe our flagging fortunes in Brooklyn will be reversed — and we can win some state legislative seats we lost back. The current leadership were not competent enough to prevent it. (You may also remember Hermelyn from when she tried to not back Hochul over Adrienne Adams being made the LG nominee.)
DAC is already getting talk of a primary in 2028. NYC Councilman Shaun Abreu and State Assemb. Carmen de la Rosa have been floated as challengers, as has (less likely) Manhattan Democratic boss and former legislator Keith Wright.
She's said and done things before being elected, and running against someone in a primary because you think you'd be a better Congress member and have a chance of winning is perfectly legitimate. I know you understand that, so was your question intended to be polemical?
No, I wasn't necessarily trying to be polemic. I think it's just ironic that future challengers are being floated to someone who isn't even an incumbent, before she even has a chance to put actions to her words.
To be fair, that happens on the left too. Melissa Bean is getting talk of a left primary (I’ve heard Nabeela Syed’s name be mentioned) and she hasn’t been elected yet. Ditto for Jeremy Moss (although mainly due to him refusing to back AES).
I don't see the point in a primary until they actually take office. Maggie Goodlander, Yassamin Ansari and Maxine Dexter were all supposed moderates that bested more progressive challengers. But you know what? They've shifted to the left since taking office. Maybe Chevalier and people like Melat Kiros can be able to moderate in the same way those other women lost moderation.
Chris Van Hollen was pretty run of the mill during his 2016 Senate run, Donna Edwards was further to the left than him, and now he's one of the leading progressive politicians.
If DAC moderates, she probably won't get a challenger, or at least a strong one. Considering her long history of questionable-at-best comments, it makes sense for someone to test the waters for a run, so if DAC does what they expect and refused to moderate, they have a leg up on primarying her.
I don't know if Ansari and Dexter were "supposed moderates" per se, I think those on the left were upset that they were the beneficiaries of AIPAC spending with the (successful) goal of preventing Raquel Terán and Susheela Jayapal, respectively, from winning.
It's not ironic at all. If you want a chance at a previously open seat, you're usually best off trying to beat a freshman than waiting till they're more entrenched.
I think part of it is that if anyone actually thought Espaillat was beatable, they would've made the challenge themselves, so a bunch of ambitious pols are frustrated that DAC did it. I also think DAC, as an Afro-Latina, will have a much better chance of bridging the two often-competing ethnic demographics in the district. She will absorb a decent amount of the Dominican base from Espaillat, and she will probably hold a decent amount of black support, which was key to her win. Unlike several of her potential challengers, she hasn't spent much time in that rivalry, which predates her by about two decades.
This makes a lot of sense to me. I disagree with several people saying she has to moderate to stay in office; instead, she needs to emulate Tlaib by providing great constituent service. That's likely to be the key to whether she gets reelected or not.
Depends how much bad press she gets in her term.. will she be partly responsible for sinking a Dem speaker? Say something controversial that will get replayed on cable news 24/7?
How effective this is will depend on DAC's discipline in congress
Even if she's a firebrand, as long as she doesn't double down on the kind of things that are making a primary challenge possible, she'll probably be fine unless Mamdani's approvals go down. I would love for her to change her tune on Ukraine and the Russian Invasion... otherwise I can only hope a more normal progressive/DemSoc challenges her.
NY Times/Siena D+9 generic ballot. Yet it's almost comical how much the media bends to make sure the race seems competitive or Democrats can't win big with these headlines:
A ‘Blue Wave’ May Be Building, but How High? A Times/Siena national poll suggests Republicans are reeling. Can they come back by depicting Democrats as too far to the left?
"Newest poll shows Dumocrats only winning by the generic ballot single digits instead of double digits. Here's why Hillary's emails are bad for transgender athletes not condemning Hasan Piker. Also, Biden is old."
Considering the fiasco with WaPo’s editing team with reporters Felicia Sonmez and Dave Weigel a few years back, I don’t think the “democracy dies in darkness” means anything if those running the WaPo can’t get their shit together.
US media is in a systemic crisis, and has been for the better part of ten years. Aside from financial pressures, consolidation, as well as audience and attention fragmentation, we are now having consistent issues with reporting objective, basic truth, and even attempting some sort of accountability. Newspapers, Sunday shows, cable news are all now a shell of their former selves.
This is an interesting nugget as well w/r/t the Senate: "We did something unusual: We asked people whom they would support in the race for governor and Senate in their state using the names of the actual candidates on the ballot. Overall in key states, Democrats did nearly three points better on the named Senate ballots than they did on the generic congressional ballot in the same states."
The Democratic brand at the moment is still pretty unpopular, yet individual candidates are definitely not. In that case, I wonder if the generic ballot polling might actually be underselling what the actual margin of victory might be?
Looking at the state legislative special elections on election day, most won't be very competitive. Colorado SD-21 and Hawaii SD-19 were both previously held by a Democrat and narrowly voted for Harris, but considering the environment, I'd be surprised to see either flip, although Hawaii can be a little unpredictable. A few other seats might have been competitive if they weren't held on election day, but due to the more balanced turnout then, I'm not expecting to many 20 point swings. If any seat is going to flip though, it's probably Louisiana HD-92. It's a Harris +4, racially diverse district located around Kenner in Jefferson Parrish, and previously held by a Republican. The only Democrat running is a former Kenner city councilman, as is one of the two Republicans, with the other Republican having no political experience. We'll see if the Democrat can avoid a runoff entirely.
"'Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers will not attend a debate held by a local television station Tuesday over suspicions that the event’s moderator has ‘bias and favoritism’ toward his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, Rogers’ campaign said in a news release,' the Washington Sun reports."
Sounds like a candidate who definitely isn't scared.
I don't blame him. El-Sayed vs Rogers in a debate is like a hydrogen bomb vs a coughing baby.
I wish I could see some sort of data set on the ultimate outcome for candidates who decide to skip debates, and whether some sort of observable trend could be found at scale, i.e, debate skippers generally go on to lose, etc.
Road rage leads to GOP chair's arrest on serious charges and resignation calls: reports
⬇️
"Sussex County, New Jersey Republican Chairman Joseph LaBarbera was arrested Saturday facing multiple gun-related charges, according to local reports, prompting swift calls from fellow GOP officials for him to step down.
The New Jersey Globe and patch.com reported that LaBarbera faces charges including possession of a weapon for an unlawful purpose, endangering a child by a non-caretaker, aggravated assault with a firearm, and unjustified display of a firearm by a permit holder.
The confrontation reportedly grew out of a dispute between drivers on the road. Police took LaBarbera into custody early Saturday afternoon, arresting him at a nearby restaurant not long after the alleged incident occurred."
Here’s something to watch - Marjorie Taylor Greene is interviewed by PBS’s Margaret Hoover about toxicity women, namely young women, are feeling in the Republican Party.
MTG has pointed out she’s seen this particularly at events by Turning Point USA and other events by related groups.
Naturally, Democrats have the edge over this even amid the problems with Eric Swalwell and others.
She sounds downright reasonable here! And Massie filed for impeachment today against Hegseth. Its amazing how these republicans find a spine once they lose primaries, or once its certain they are leaving/left Congress. A little too late Marge.
It's time to ask the big questions again, especially in light of yesterday's Supreme Court victory for democracy. How will the SC actually enforce this ruling? Anyone here who studied civics 101 in high school understands a very glaring Achilles' Heel in US checks and balances: the branches are not coequal. The Supreme Court lacks any meaningful enforcement power of its rulings.
Andrew Jackson famously defied the Supreme Court in Worcester v Georgia and proceeded to remove the Cherokee from their homeland in Georgia, thus starting the infamous Trail of Tears. Lyndon B Johnson famously had to send the National Guard down to Topeka Kansas to enforce Brown v Board of Education, in light of the open defiance of Kansas' government's open defiance.
So what's to stop the USPS here under the direction of Trump and his appointed cronies from furthering any malfeasance and delaying or discarding ballots of voters they deem unfavorable and suspicious? Sure it can be contained and limited in states where at least a Democrat Secretary of State, Lieutenant Governor or legislature can step in with some intervention or guidance. But what happens in states where Republicans wholly or even partly control these vital offices and often, where major elections are being held, like New Hampshire and Alaska now? The USPS could easily for example declare that some tens of thousands of voters are discarded in Alaska to "prevent fraud", perhaps due to some of the indigenous voters in that selected batch are not all fluent English speakers. By the time damage has been done, the elections may be over and the results are certified. The bad actors could get prosecuted but there's no recourse.
I'm wondering whether local leaders and individuals can somehow mitigate or circumvent this nonsense, but many voters rely exclusively on mail-in voting, including seniors, the disabled, remote-overseas citizens and remote indigenous communities. If there isn't already, there needs to be a game plan to counteract this corruption and I'm not even sure our Democrat leaders are adequately prepared.
About 7 weeks to go before tabulation, with some ballots printed and en route is a little late to start conceptual discussions on this topic. That the administration and statewide Republicans would use every legal and possible trick in their toolbox to delay, deny, disenfranchise and invalidate as many votes as they could, should have been understood to be axiomatic given their conduct in the last six years.
Pray to god that everyone from Marc Elias to Hakeem Jeffries have been discussing, strategizing, and preparing, because the dirty tricks, litigation and stop-at-nothing-to-win attempts ARE coming.
Indeed, my biggest terror is that the USPS pulls some late night vote discarding, under whatever pretext, where certification happens before "truth even gets its pants on".
Anybody think a last-minute retirement from Alito or Thomas might still be forthcoming to ensure a right-wing replacement and to activate the conservative base in the election?
A strategy I’m seeing the GOP try with some Dems is tying them to “defund the police”, such as with Will Lawrence.
How effective do you all think this would be today? In 2022/2024 I know it was potent, but is this still true today? Is this still an issue a lot of voters care about, or are issues like the economy more important?
Why did Democrats choose such a terrible candidate in Cinde Warmington? Any insight into why the primary went that way?
From what I remember the candidate everyone (here, at least) wanted, Donovan Fenton, said no. I suspect the NH Dems tried to recruit him and failed.
He really should have run. Ayotte isn’t that popular.
There were other candidates, though. Choosing someone so clearly implicated in the opioid scandal was really stupid.
Indeed.
I'm guessing nobody wanted to run. Chris Sununu's repeated wins and Ayotte filling the same niche to an extent (paired with a surprisingly strong 2024 win) probably scared most potential challengers off or made it feel like a waste of time. Fenton, the potential candidate mentioned below, is 37. He's very young and is probably content waiting until Ayotte retires and the state GOP doesn't have anymore "moderates" to run
Well, the Sununu family dynasty is real here and Kelly Ayotte is the other most high profile Republican not exactly MAGA (even though she’s quite conservative).
But at the same time, NH Democrats really should step up. The state hasn’t been won by the GOP at the presidential level since 2000 and Team Blue has occupied both Senate seats since 2017 (soon to extend to 2027 and beyond if Chris Pappas wins the Senate race).
The thing is, though, Warmington wasn't the only candidate who ran.
Who was the other candidate?
I can’t imagine the other candidate was high profile enough to have influence if Warmington ended up winning the primary.
Hell if I remember the names of the other candidates, but could all of them have been worse than Warmington?
https://dccc.org/dccc-announces-three-new-candidates-to-coveted-2026-red-to-blue-program/
The DCCC has added three new candidates to its Red to Blue list. They are:
- AK-AL: Bill Hill
- MI-07: Will Lawrence (finally)
- WI-01: Mitchell Berman
Glad to see Lawrence was finally added. Interesting that WI-01 is being targeted too — I didn’t think it was that vulnerable, and we weren’t able to recruit a really strong candidate.
Glad to see this. I was on a zoom fundraiser a while back for AK and Bill Hill was one of the candidates highlighted.
Brooklyn Dem Party leadership:
https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2026/09/judge-blocks-rodneyse-bichotte-hermelyns-bk-dems-rules-overhaul/415982/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
Hallelujah. A judge blocked the anti-democratic overhaul of the Brooklyn Democratic Party rules. For those not in the loop, reform candidates snagged a majority of district leader positions in recent elections, which Party Chair Rodneyse Bichotte Hermelyn responded to by attempting to change the party rules to add more leaders (thereby undoing the win). This move was so brazenly anti-democratic, even Jay Jacobs, Chuck Schumer, and Hakeem Jeffries opposed it.
Glad to see the courts fighting back. Maybe our flagging fortunes in Brooklyn will be reversed — and we can win some state legislative seats we lost back. The current leadership were not competent enough to prevent it. (You may also remember Hermelyn from when she tried to not back Hochul over Adrienne Adams being made the LG nominee.)
NY-13:
https://www.cityandstateny.com/politics/2026/09/whats-next-squadriano-after-adriano-espaillats-loss/415956/?oref=csny-homepage-river
DAC is already getting talk of a primary in 2028. NYC Councilman Shaun Abreu and State Assemb. Carmen de la Rosa have been floated as challengers, as has (less likely) Manhattan Democratic boss and former legislator Keith Wright.
Do they know she hasn't been elected yet, and therefore has done nothing in office that would warrant a primary?
I think Espaillat is just bitter about losing.
That said, I’m not a super DAC fan so we’ll see where this goes.
Of course that's another element, that he wants to get back at her by proxy.
She's said and done things before being elected, and running against someone in a primary because you think you'd be a better Congress member and have a chance of winning is perfectly legitimate. I know you understand that, so was your question intended to be polemical?
No, I wasn't necessarily trying to be polemic. I think it's just ironic that future challengers are being floated to someone who isn't even an incumbent, before she even has a chance to put actions to her words.
To be fair, that happens on the left too. Melissa Bean is getting talk of a left primary (I’ve heard Nabeela Syed’s name be mentioned) and she hasn’t been elected yet. Ditto for Jeremy Moss (although mainly due to him refusing to back AES).
I don't see the point in a primary until they actually take office. Maggie Goodlander, Yassamin Ansari and Maxine Dexter were all supposed moderates that bested more progressive challengers. But you know what? They've shifted to the left since taking office. Maybe Chevalier and people like Melat Kiros can be able to moderate in the same way those other women lost moderation.
Chris Van Hollen was pretty run of the mill during his 2016 Senate run, Donna Edwards was further to the left than him, and now he's one of the leading progressive politicians.
If DAC moderates, she probably won't get a challenger, or at least a strong one. Considering her long history of questionable-at-best comments, it makes sense for someone to test the waters for a run, so if DAC does what they expect and refused to moderate, they have a leg up on primarying her.
All of that is interesting history.
I remember when Dexter won and on left Twitter/Bluesky people were calling for her to be primaried by State Rep. Travis Nelson in 2026.
Fast forward like a year and there were now calls in the same community for Dexter to run for Senate in 2028 if Ron Wyden ends up retiring.
Public opinion, particularly on social media, can be quite fickle.
I don't know if Ansari and Dexter were "supposed moderates" per se, I think those on the left were upset that they were the beneficiaries of AIPAC spending with the (successful) goal of preventing Raquel Terán and Susheela Jayapal, respectively, from winning.
It's not ironic at all. If you want a chance at a previously open seat, you're usually best off trying to beat a freshman than waiting till they're more entrenched.
I think part of it is that if anyone actually thought Espaillat was beatable, they would've made the challenge themselves, so a bunch of ambitious pols are frustrated that DAC did it. I also think DAC, as an Afro-Latina, will have a much better chance of bridging the two often-competing ethnic demographics in the district. She will absorb a decent amount of the Dominican base from Espaillat, and she will probably hold a decent amount of black support, which was key to her win. Unlike several of her potential challengers, she hasn't spent much time in that rivalry, which predates her by about two decades.
This makes a lot of sense to me. I disagree with several people saying she has to moderate to stay in office; instead, she needs to emulate Tlaib by providing great constituent service. That's likely to be the key to whether she gets reelected or not.
Depends how much bad press she gets in her term.. will she be partly responsible for sinking a Dem speaker? Say something controversial that will get replayed on cable news 24/7?
How effective this is will depend on DAC's discipline in congress
Even if she's a firebrand, as long as she doesn't double down on the kind of things that are making a primary challenge possible, she'll probably be fine unless Mamdani's approvals go down. I would love for her to change her tune on Ukraine and the Russian Invasion... otherwise I can only hope a more normal progressive/DemSoc challenges her.
NY Times/Siena D+9 generic ballot. Yet it's almost comical how much the media bends to make sure the race seems competitive or Democrats can't win big with these headlines:
A ‘Blue Wave’ May Be Building, but How High? A Times/Siena national poll suggests Republicans are reeling. Can they come back by depicting Democrats as too far to the left?
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/15/upshot/times-siena-national-poll.html
"Newest poll shows Dumocrats only winning by the generic ballot single digits instead of double digits. Here's why Hillary's emails are bad for transgender athletes not condemning Hasan Piker. Also, Biden is old."
The NYT’s downfall has been depressing. They’ve always had issues but lately it’s just gotten ridiculous.
Sadly it’s still better than what happened to WaPo. I will never forgive Jeff Bezos for destroying one of the U.S.’s most respected papers.
Bezos read "democracy dies in darkness" and thought they were instructions
Ironic, as he was the one who insisted the Washington Post come up with a motto.
Considering the fiasco with WaPo’s editing team with reporters Felicia Sonmez and Dave Weigel a few years back, I don’t think the “democracy dies in darkness” means anything if those running the WaPo can’t get their shit together.
US media is in a systemic crisis, and has been for the better part of ten years. Aside from financial pressures, consolidation, as well as audience and attention fragmentation, we are now having consistent issues with reporting objective, basic truth, and even attempting some sort of accountability. Newspapers, Sunday shows, cable news are all now a shell of their former selves.
🎯
🎯
This is an interesting nugget as well w/r/t the Senate: "We did something unusual: We asked people whom they would support in the race for governor and Senate in their state using the names of the actual candidates on the ballot. Overall in key states, Democrats did nearly three points better on the named Senate ballots than they did on the generic congressional ballot in the same states."
The Democratic brand at the moment is still pretty unpopular, yet individual candidates are definitely not. In that case, I wonder if the generic ballot polling might actually be underselling what the actual margin of victory might be?
I don't see a problem. They're hedging their bets. It's typical Times on the one hand, but on the other, but in this instance it makes sense.
Looking at the state legislative special elections on election day, most won't be very competitive. Colorado SD-21 and Hawaii SD-19 were both previously held by a Democrat and narrowly voted for Harris, but considering the environment, I'd be surprised to see either flip, although Hawaii can be a little unpredictable. A few other seats might have been competitive if they weren't held on election day, but due to the more balanced turnout then, I'm not expecting to many 20 point swings. If any seat is going to flip though, it's probably Louisiana HD-92. It's a Harris +4, racially diverse district located around Kenner in Jefferson Parrish, and previously held by a Republican. The only Democrat running is a former Kenner city councilman, as is one of the two Republicans, with the other Republican having no political experience. We'll see if the Democrat can avoid a runoff entirely.
"'Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers will not attend a debate held by a local television station Tuesday over suspicions that the event’s moderator has ‘bias and favoritism’ toward his Democratic opponent, Abdul El-Sayed, Rogers’ campaign said in a news release,' the Washington Sun reports."
Sounds like a candidate who definitely isn't scared.
I don't blame him. El-Sayed vs Rogers in a debate is like a hydrogen bomb vs a coughing baby.
I wish I could see some sort of data set on the ultimate outcome for candidates who decide to skip debates, and whether some sort of observable trend could be found at scale, i.e, debate skippers generally go on to lose, etc.
Any NJ residents reading this?
From Raw Story:
https://www.rawstory.com/new-jersey-gop/
Road rage leads to GOP chair's arrest on serious charges and resignation calls: reports
⬇️
"Sussex County, New Jersey Republican Chairman Joseph LaBarbera was arrested Saturday facing multiple gun-related charges, according to local reports, prompting swift calls from fellow GOP officials for him to step down.
The New Jersey Globe and patch.com reported that LaBarbera faces charges including possession of a weapon for an unlawful purpose, endangering a child by a non-caretaker, aggravated assault with a firearm, and unjustified display of a firearm by a permit holder.
The confrontation reportedly grew out of a dispute between drivers on the road. Police took LaBarbera into custody early Saturday afternoon, arresting him at a nearby restaurant not long after the alleged incident occurred."
Here’s something to watch - Marjorie Taylor Greene is interviewed by PBS’s Margaret Hoover about toxicity women, namely young women, are feeling in the Republican Party.
MTG has pointed out she’s seen this particularly at events by Turning Point USA and other events by related groups.
Naturally, Democrats have the edge over this even amid the problems with Eric Swalwell and others.
https://m.youtube.com/shorts/mv0W3dAcvvA?ra=m
Who would have thought young Republicans would create a toxic environment for women? /s
She sounds downright reasonable here! And Massie filed for impeachment today against Hegseth. Its amazing how these republicans find a spine once they lose primaries, or once its certain they are leaving/left Congress. A little too late Marge.
It's time to ask the big questions again, especially in light of yesterday's Supreme Court victory for democracy. How will the SC actually enforce this ruling? Anyone here who studied civics 101 in high school understands a very glaring Achilles' Heel in US checks and balances: the branches are not coequal. The Supreme Court lacks any meaningful enforcement power of its rulings.
Andrew Jackson famously defied the Supreme Court in Worcester v Georgia and proceeded to remove the Cherokee from their homeland in Georgia, thus starting the infamous Trail of Tears. Lyndon B Johnson famously had to send the National Guard down to Topeka Kansas to enforce Brown v Board of Education, in light of the open defiance of Kansas' government's open defiance.
So what's to stop the USPS here under the direction of Trump and his appointed cronies from furthering any malfeasance and delaying or discarding ballots of voters they deem unfavorable and suspicious? Sure it can be contained and limited in states where at least a Democrat Secretary of State, Lieutenant Governor or legislature can step in with some intervention or guidance. But what happens in states where Republicans wholly or even partly control these vital offices and often, where major elections are being held, like New Hampshire and Alaska now? The USPS could easily for example declare that some tens of thousands of voters are discarded in Alaska to "prevent fraud", perhaps due to some of the indigenous voters in that selected batch are not all fluent English speakers. By the time damage has been done, the elections may be over and the results are certified. The bad actors could get prosecuted but there's no recourse.
I'm wondering whether local leaders and individuals can somehow mitigate or circumvent this nonsense, but many voters rely exclusively on mail-in voting, including seniors, the disabled, remote-overseas citizens and remote indigenous communities. If there isn't already, there needs to be a game plan to counteract this corruption and I'm not even sure our Democrat leaders are adequately prepared.
About 7 weeks to go before tabulation, with some ballots printed and en route is a little late to start conceptual discussions on this topic. That the administration and statewide Republicans would use every legal and possible trick in their toolbox to delay, deny, disenfranchise and invalidate as many votes as they could, should have been understood to be axiomatic given their conduct in the last six years.
Pray to god that everyone from Marc Elias to Hakeem Jeffries have been discussing, strategizing, and preparing, because the dirty tricks, litigation and stop-at-nothing-to-win attempts ARE coming.
Indeed, my biggest terror is that the USPS pulls some late night vote discarding, under whatever pretext, where certification happens before "truth even gets its pants on".
Anybody think a last-minute retirement from Alito or Thomas might still be forthcoming to ensure a right-wing replacement and to activate the conservative base in the election?
Iowa Sen: Turek 43%; Hinson 43% Laehn 4%
Iowa Gov: Sand 48%-Lahn 44%
Poll by Cygnal on behalf of Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation. Conducted 9/ 9-11; 500 LVs. M/E 4.4%
Seeing that this poll was by a Republican pollster, it is very good result.
https://itrfoundation.org/new-poll-iowa-voters-support-supermajority-requirement-to-raise-income-taxes/
I wonder if confused Republicans will vote for both Lahn and Laehn.
I’ve got a general question for posters here.
A strategy I’m seeing the GOP try with some Dems is tying them to “defund the police”, such as with Will Lawrence.
How effective do you all think this would be today? In 2022/2024 I know it was potent, but is this still true today? Is this still an issue a lot of voters care about, or are issues like the economy more important?
The latter - people don't care, and the economy is a better issue to run on.