NE-Sen is cheap, and is likely a better play than Floridayl, and definitely better than Texas. Fischer is weak, and may present us with the best path to 50 Senate Seats.
Unlike Florida we actually do have several polls showing leads or ties for Osborne now, although that could change. We just did recently get a poll showing a lead of Allred in Texas. Worst case scenario, even if Osborne decided to caucus with Republicans, he'd be among the most reliable votes for Democrats, given his platform.
I'm skeptical of Osborn's chances at winning mainly because the undecideds in Nebraska are expected to be largely conservative learning. Likely R sounds right to me.
NEW Crystal Ball Rating Changes in NEBRASKA
NE-2 electoral vote: Leans D to Likely D
NE-SEN (Fischer vs. Osborn): Safe R to Likely R
https://x.com/kkondik/status/1838975088227451375
I agree.
NE-Sen is cheap, and is likely a better play than Floridayl, and definitely better than Texas. Fischer is weak, and may present us with the best path to 50 Senate Seats.
Do we know if Osborne would caucus with the Dems?
Fischer won't. Osborne could. That is enough for me.
Based on the rumors I've seen on Politics Twitter, it sounds like probably.
If so, those rumors are likely to make it impossible for him to win.
Osborn should pull an Angus King and not mention which party he'll caucus with until after the election.
I'd put him down for caucus with the majority with certain requests in terms of floor votes/policies and committees.
Especially the Agriculture Committee. This is Nebraska after all.
That begs the question of what he'd do if he were the deciding vote on which party is the majority.
Unlike Florida we actually do have several polls showing leads or ties for Osborne now, although that could change. We just did recently get a poll showing a lead of Allred in Texas. Worst case scenario, even if Osborne decided to caucus with Republicans, he'd be among the most reliable votes for Democrats, given his platform.
What makes her weak?
I'm skeptical of Osborn's chances at winning mainly because the undecideds in Nebraska are expected to be largely conservative learning. Likely R sounds right to me.