Well, at least they aren't herding. Some indications that this is partially about sample composition/differential response (maybe influenced by a post-debate Harris bump?): Michigan sample went from D+2 Harris +6 to R+1 Trump +3, Wisconsin sample went from D+2 Harris +1 to R+3 Trump +2, Pennsylvania sample went from D+3 Harris +5 to D+2 …
Well, at least they aren't herding. Some indications that this is partially about sample composition/differential response (maybe influenced by a post-debate Harris bump?): Michigan sample went from D+2 Harris +6 to R+1 Trump +3, Wisconsin sample went from D+2 Harris +1 to R+3 Trump +2, Pennsylvania sample went from D+3 Harris +5 to D+2 Harris +3.
The million dollar question is which electorate will show up.
Well, at least they aren't herding. Some indications that this is partially about sample composition/differential response (maybe influenced by a post-debate Harris bump?): Michigan sample went from D+2 Harris +6 to R+1 Trump +3, Wisconsin sample went from D+2 Harris +1 to R+3 Trump +2, Pennsylvania sample went from D+3 Harris +5 to D+2 Harris +3.
The million dollar question is which electorate will show up.
That's where the ground game comes in. Thank God for Ben Wikler.