The early mail votes from the rust belt are heavily on loyal and constant Dem voters. Most of them will vote any methods anyway. Banking the votes early just serves as an insurance, in case anything happens later impeding them getting to vote.
It probably says little about the final results, as we don’t know from these numbers, the big chunk of Trump only voters, nor their excitement level.
The early mail votes from the rust belt are heavily on loyal and constant Dem voters. Most of them will vote any methods anyway. Banking the votes early just serves as an insurance, in case anything happens later impeding them getting to vote.
It probably says little about the final results, as we don’t know from these numbers, the big chunk of Trump only voters, nor their excitement level.
Nota bene: Banking the votes of loyal and reliable Dems early is valuable for campaigns because it allows them to check these voters off their GOTV lists, and thus allows them to focus on less reliable election day voters.
I feel like the smart move would likely to simply ignore "votes every time" voters altogether in your GOTV regardless of whether you have proof they voted or not. If your time/money is that valuable then using it even just to check in on a guy like me who has voted in every primary/general since I moved back to MD seems like a waste.
It's been a while since I've done direct canvassing with access to VAN and such but when we would get back at 6 or 7 PM we would go over Board of Elections data to confirm early votes and strike the early voters from call/walk lists.
I think the smarter move is for the campaigns to contact the "votes every time" voters early, ask them to please encourage their family and friends and neighbors and acquaintances to vote – and to consider volunteering for additional GOTV efforts.
The early mail votes from the rust belt are heavily on loyal and constant Dem voters. Most of them will vote any methods anyway. Banking the votes early just serves as an insurance, in case anything happens later impeding them getting to vote.
It probably says little about the final results, as we don’t know from these numbers, the big chunk of Trump only voters, nor their excitement level.
Nota bene: Banking the votes of loyal and reliable Dems early is valuable for campaigns because it allows them to check these voters off their GOTV lists, and thus allows them to focus on less reliable election day voters.
I feel like the smart move would likely to simply ignore "votes every time" voters altogether in your GOTV regardless of whether you have proof they voted or not. If your time/money is that valuable then using it even just to check in on a guy like me who has voted in every primary/general since I moved back to MD seems like a waste.
It's been a while since I've done direct canvassing with access to VAN and such but when we would get back at 6 or 7 PM we would go over Board of Elections data to confirm early votes and strike the early voters from call/walk lists.
I think the smarter move is for the campaigns to contact the "votes every time" voters early, ask them to please encourage their family and friends and neighbors and acquaintances to vote – and to consider volunteering for additional GOTV efforts.
That's what they do. The script for early canvassing asks strongly supporting respondents whether they would be willing to volunteer.
On the postcards I’ve been writing to NC and MI, I’ve added the line: "Please encourage your friends and family to vote."
Yeah generally that is question #2 if they identify as a strong Harris supporter.
This is bad campaigning tactics; people liked to be asked for their vote; you are a supervoter and will vote, but campaigns need to ask you
Biggest boost of getting Dem votes in early is GOTV efforts can focus more on the stragglers.