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Jonathan's avatar

Agree to disagree; imo those outcomes are way beyond likely as to the point of statistically impossible(I'm a poker player and I would bet my mortgage that if Harris wins Pennsylvania, she wins the election)

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Stephen A Mikalik's avatar

From a pure math standpoint: If Harris wins PA, Trump would need to win four of the five remaining swing states not named Nevada or GA+NC+MI+NV. The only three-state combination involving PA & those five remaining swing states not named Nevada that DOESN'T get Harris to 270 is PA+AZ+WI (266 EVs). All four-state combinations that include PA are winners for Harris.

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Jonathan's avatar

You have expertly made my point; thank you

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