Brown has a pretty clear path to winning. Ohio is no redder now than it was in 2018 (and might possibly even be bluer now thanks to the abortion issue). And being well known to be an asshole (as Moreno is) isn't any better electorally than being nearly invisible like Renacci in 2018. It will be close as always, but I think Brown wins re-…
Brown has a pretty clear path to winning. Ohio is no redder now than it was in 2018 (and might possibly even be bluer now thanks to the abortion issue). And being well known to be an asshole (as Moreno is) isn't any better electorally than being nearly invisible like Renacci in 2018. It will be close as always, but I think Brown wins re-election.
And if you're not sure how the political geography works out, look at the abortion referendum last year (which passed 57-43) and have the Dem do 6% worse in each county. That would be a 51-49 Dem victory.
Brown has a pretty clear path to winning. Ohio is no redder now than it was in 2018 (and might possibly even be bluer now thanks to the abortion issue). And being well known to be an asshole (as Moreno is) isn't any better electorally than being nearly invisible like Renacci in 2018. It will be close as always, but I think Brown wins re-election.
And if you're not sure how the political geography works out, look at the abortion referendum last year (which passed 57-43) and have the Dem do 6% worse in each county. That would be a 51-49 Dem victory.