Polls have underestimated Tester before, though
Most Dems were underestimated in the 2012 polls. That was a very interesting year and there hasn't been another like it since regarding Democratic overperformance, although to be fair, 2022 was the closest we've come.
A recent poll showed Tester up by five % points whereas others show Sheehy up several percentage points.
If Tester was up by just 1% points or even with Sheehy and he was leading Tester in multiple polls, then I'd be really concerned.
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Polls have underestimated Tester before, though
Most Dems were underestimated in the 2012 polls. That was a very interesting year and there hasn't been another like it since regarding Democratic overperformance, although to be fair, 2022 was the closest we've come.
A recent poll showed Tester up by five % points whereas others show Sheehy up several percentage points.
If Tester was up by just 1% points or even with Sheehy and he was leading Tester in multiple polls, then I'd be really concerned.