A new IPSOS Washington Post poll shows 82% of Black voters supporting Harris, up from 74% who said they would support Biden. The poll also shows increased enthusiasm among Black voters. The poll contacted 1083 Black voters.
How did Obama's polling numbers look with black voters? Quick look I found says he got 93% of their votes in 2012. I'm curious how that might have compared to what the polls said.
I'd expect it's harder to get polling right as we get closer to these kind of strongly lopsided results.
Yes, Obama got 93-95%. Moreover, in 2022 exit polls, Blacks went for Democrats over 90% in PA and MI, and 89% in WI. Question is whether the current polls are off or if Blacks trending right.
Well, Trump does seem to be trying to recruit the Kanye West & Herschel Walker self-styled macho demographic. But somehow I doubt thatтАЩs going to pad his numbers much.
If I remember correctly back in 2012, Obama got around 45% of the votes in GA. At this time, the robust GOTV system that Stacey Abrams started was not in place. However, getting a sizeable portion like 45% couldn't have been possible without high turnout among black voters in the state.
Polling, even exit polling, tends to strongly underestimate the black support for Dems. I remember in 2020 exit polling suggested Trump got up to 15% of the black vote but precinct results indicated it was in mid single digits.
A new IPSOS Washington Post poll shows 82% of Black voters supporting Harris, up from 74% who said they would support Biden. The poll also shows increased enthusiasm among Black voters. The poll contacted 1083 Black voters.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/09/09/harris-trump-biden-black-americans/
These are the numbers I like to see.
How did Obama's polling numbers look with black voters? Quick look I found says he got 93% of their votes in 2012. I'm curious how that might have compared to what the polls said.
I'd expect it's harder to get polling right as we get closer to these kind of strongly lopsided results.
Yes, Obama got 93-95%. Moreover, in 2022 exit polls, Blacks went for Democrats over 90% in PA and MI, and 89% in WI. Question is whether the current polls are off or if Blacks trending right.
Actually elections point to the polls being off(I am going to trust the actual election results)
Well, Trump does seem to be trying to recruit the Kanye West & Herschel Walker self-styled macho demographic. But somehow I doubt thatтАЩs going to pad his numbers much.
If I remember correctly back in 2012, Obama got around 45% of the votes in GA. At this time, the robust GOTV system that Stacey Abrams started was not in place. However, getting a sizeable portion like 45% couldn't have been possible without high turnout among black voters in the state.
Polling, even exit polling, tends to strongly underestimate the black support for Dems. I remember in 2020 exit polling suggested Trump got up to 15% of the black vote but precinct results indicated it was in mid single digits.
Trump better brace himself for GA and NC.
But he really can't; Pennsylvania is make or break
Of course.
NC I was saying in particular because I recall it was called for Trump before PA was even called for Biden.