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Tom A's avatar

We arent getting through the next four years without a recession in all liklihood. So the sooner Trump takes ownership, the more blame he will get when that recession comes.

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ArcticStones's avatar

With Trump’s announced policies, a recession (or depression) is all but certain. But I really don’t think a recession would be in the works had Kamala Harris won and been given Democratic majorities in the House and Senate.

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Tom A's avatar

I've learned not to try to predict how the economy will react to various policy proposals. I expect you are right, but who knows - we will have to wait and see.

Also, I think we are in the slowing portion of the economic cycle right now. Like even if Harris had had Dem majorities I dont know that we get through 2026 without at least a minor recession. Our worst case scenario is probably that we are even closer than it seems, and that basically Trump inherits a recession like Bush did, and by 2028 things are back to strong growth.

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