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axlee's avatar

Which jurisdictions you are thinking? The turnout rate probably dropped, that is self evident as older voters exit, and younger voters enter the electorate and they are not voting at the same rate as the cohorts 4 year ago.

But so far the 7 certified states + WV which are done counting, only deep red WV/WY recorded a smaller than 2020 number of raw votes. (WV has a shrinking voting population.) NV/OK/SC/DE/SD/VT all recorded more votes than 2020. NH will absolutely have more votes as well. Virginia also has a higher number of total votes as of now.

The dark blue areas within dark blue states CA NY IL MD probably will see a drop of raw votes. But the numbers may not be as stark as the initial look the election night.

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