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SanJoseAJ's avatar

https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1828126050359919035

New General Election poll

šŸ”µ Harris 52% (+7)

šŸ”“ Trump 45%

Kaplan S. #N/A - 1190 LV - 8/24

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axlee's avatar

RV at 50-46. It seems to be a poll done for RedState.com.

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Jonathan's avatar

Is it a partisan pollster??.. Kaplan S..??

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Jeff Singer's avatar

Kaplan Research is run by Doug Kaplan, who ran Gravis Marketing. Gravis does NOT have a good reputation.

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Skaje's avatar

Man, polling this year. Most recent national polls on 538: Morning Consult, Echelon Insights, Kaplan Strategies, Angus Reid, Activote, RMG Research, Outward Intelligence, Redfield and Wilton, Bullfinch Group, YouGov, Farleigh Dickinson, SoCal Strategies, Big Village, Embold Research, Data for Progress, Emerson, and then finally Ipsos/Washington Post!

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Jonathan's avatar

Anyone seen any other post convention polls??

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axlee's avatar

They also weighted full RV sample relatively old at 29% seniors, and less Black at 10%. Party identification at R+1, generic voting D+2. Trump favorable -10. Harris favorable even.

The write-up says that Harris fails to pull away. Hmm, if this is the best they can find as of now…

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safik's avatar

If it was indeed done for Red State, I have to admit I'm pretty surprised they didn't bury it because 4 hours ago I would have expected Red State would bury a poll with a Harris + 7 topline

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Jonathan's avatar

It's actually a very detailed write-up.. Worth the read imo ..it definitely downplays the likely voter numbers, and highlights the registered voter numbers

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