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Paleo's avatar

Texas:

A University of Houston Hobby School and Texas Southern University Jordan-Leland School poll released Thursday found that 46.6% of likely Texas voters plan to vote for Cruz, while 44.5% said they’d vote for Allred — putting Cruz 2.1 points ahead. Of those polled, 2.5% said they were voting for Libertarian Ted Brown and 6.4% said they’re undecided.

https://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article291256785.html#storylink=cpy

Trump up 50-45

https://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article291256820.html

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safik's avatar

It should be noted that there was a pretty big polling miss in the 2018 TX-SEN race, the polling average was I think somewhere in the neighborhood of 5-6 and Cruz wound up winning by 2.6. The polling miss in 2018 in TX and FL was very similar but the latter got much more attention, and justifiably so because it was big enough that it got the winner wrong, but in terms of just the numbers the miss was very similar.

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Skaje's avatar

Yeah, Quinnipiac was cranking out polls showing Cruz up 9 points at the same time they were finding Gillum and Nelson up the same amount in Florida.

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Toiler On the Sea's avatar

Yeah and right after Quinnipiac had been one of the few to get the VA-GOV margins right. They really haven't been a top firm since.

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hilltopper's avatar

The poll also found Trump leading harris 50%-45%. https://uh.edu/hobby/txtrends/election2.pdf

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William's avatar

YouGov also finds the Texas Senate race as Cruz +2 as well

https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1826663045843878243

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axlee's avatar

That IS the poll from UH, conducted by YouGov.

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boyjohn's avatar

Seems like saturation digital ads of showing Ted Cruz out of the state vacationing while everyone suffers from power outage should be able to topple this guy.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Should be, but this is Texas, so he's still more likely than not to win.

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Jonathan's avatar

It's a turnout situation.. Hispanic turnouts in Texas are always disappointing

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Paleo's avatar

Yeah, but if this poll’s numbers are right, and they are splitting their votes, it’s a wash.

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Jonathan's avatar

If we could get that libertarian number to actually turn out true..then it's a margin of error race

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