I imagine it will get “slightly less dramatic” every year from here until 2030; the Census’ record in terms of projecting forward is iffy, and the 2020-22 COVID years has thrown a fair bit off
Probably just rounding. MN and WI could grow faster than MI and lose seats if they were just on the cusp of losing one in 2020 and MI nearly kept the seat it lost.
All the more reason to rid ourselves of the relic that is the Electoral College. I'm glad that state level Dems seem to mostly have their priorities right on this. Now if only we could expand the House and remove the ridiculous arbitrary cap that's been around since 1929. Too many antiquated relics to abolish and phase out, including many of our politicians.
The cap is more likely to be repealed if we start dominating in all the large states again. Abolition of the Electoral College and US Senate are MUCH less likely. Especially since the former favors swing states and the latter favors small states.
Indeed. The British House of Commons has more than 200 additional MPs and the UK is only roughly one fifth of our population. Absolutely absurd to limit ourselves to 435 US House Members.
"
The new census population estimates out today suggest a slightly less dramatic 2030 reapportionment.
Florida & Texas would gain 4 seats each. California would lose 4.
But New York’s loses down to just 2 seats and Michigan would keep all its seats."
Still very bad for Dems post 2030
https://x.com/mcpli/status/1869777518129299748?t=zztCwbNIwk9iR1WVHKoSGA&s=19
I imagine it will get “slightly less dramatic” every year from here until 2030; the Census’ record in terms of projecting forward is iffy, and the 2020-22 COVID years has thrown a fair bit off
It’s wild though to see Michigan hanging onto all its seats while Minnesota and Wisconsin don’t, though
Probably just rounding. MN and WI could grow faster than MI and lose seats if they were just on the cusp of losing one in 2020 and MI nearly kept the seat it lost.
All the more reason to rid ourselves of the relic that is the Electoral College. I'm glad that state level Dems seem to mostly have their priorities right on this. Now if only we could expand the House and remove the ridiculous arbitrary cap that's been around since 1929. Too many antiquated relics to abolish and phase out, including many of our politicians.
none of this is going to happen for a very long time (if ever)
The cap is more likely to be repealed if we start dominating in all the large states again. Abolition of the Electoral College and US Senate are MUCH less likely. Especially since the former favors swing states and the latter favors small states.
Indeed. The British House of Commons has more than 200 additional MPs and the UK is only roughly one fifth of our population. Absolutely absurd to limit ourselves to 435 US House Members.