100% agreed, I think that term needs to be retired permanently from the politicos and armchair enthusiasts lexicon. Voters change and shift all the time based on candidate, policy, timing, opponent or outside factors. There is no such thing as a permanent everlasting coalition. There’s a coalition that may work in one election that may not have worked 2 years later or may break apart or move to the opposite party.
That is the only thing that’s permanent in American elections: change. So we need to be much more open to the seemingly impossible becoming reality whether on the left, right or middle.
This is the problem with The Emerging Democratic Majority, which was gospel for a while. Part of the underlying argument is that racial/ethnic identities are static over time and that the people of those racial/ethnic identities will vote the same way into perpetuity. Both of which are faulty assumptions.
A lot of seemingly-durable political realignments turn out to be…not so durable.
One HUGE wildcard is what will become of the Trump Coalition after Trump.
100% agreed, I think that term needs to be retired permanently from the politicos and armchair enthusiasts lexicon. Voters change and shift all the time based on candidate, policy, timing, opponent or outside factors. There is no such thing as a permanent everlasting coalition. There’s a coalition that may work in one election that may not have worked 2 years later or may break apart or move to the opposite party.
That is the only thing that’s permanent in American elections: change. So we need to be much more open to the seemingly impossible becoming reality whether on the left, right or middle.
A decade ago, the conventical wisdom was the House was lost forever and the Senate was our only hope.
And there is currently no shortage of “Dems have lost the Senate FoReVeR” takes.
This is the problem with The Emerging Democratic Majority, which was gospel for a while. Part of the underlying argument is that racial/ethnic identities are static over time and that the people of those racial/ethnic identities will vote the same way into perpetuity. Both of which are faulty assumptions.