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dragonfire5004's avatar

Let’s not count chickens just yet, Georgia is still a swing state and Ossoff could still lose, but this is certainly great news for Democrats chances of holding the seat and keeping their Senator Jon Ossoff in office. Kemp isn’t stupid, he sees what’s likely coming in 2026 for any Republican on the ballot and doesn’t want that to ruin his chances to become President. We’re going to start hearing from “blue chip” candidate recruits passing on swing seat/state races in the coming months. And I’d bet the currently elected GOP retirements pile up after November general elections in New Jersey and Virginia.

If MTG does run for Governor, she could possibly bring the whole GOP ticket down like Mark Robinson did in North Carolina in 2024 (beyond obvious Lt Gov, Superintendent and especially the Riggs Supreme Court race was won by Dems thanks partly to him being the top ticket candidate). Democrats need to start recruiting highly qualified, experienced candidates to run for every statewide office now, like NC Dems under Anderson Clayton successfully did in 2024 races to take advantage of this possible dream scenario in 2026.

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Zero Cool's avatar

I am not being complacent here. It should be reminded that like AZ, Democrats have since 2021 won both Senate races in GA by a narrow margin.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

I think you mistakenly believe I was responding to you, but if you look closer I was replying to PollJunkie. I know you’re not doing that and yes both Democratic Senators from Georgia had close races they won to get their seats. I’m also firmly against anyone declaring a swing state “won” just because 1 strong GOP opponent decides not to run.

It’ll still be a competitive and tough race (less so with Trump in office than if Harris had won) regardless of who Republicans nominate because it’s still a firmly purple state that swings back and forth with a lot of swing voters (think Kemp/Warnock 2022 or Biden 2020/Trump 2024 voters).

If Herschel Walker of all people can get within 3 points, so can any GOP candidate and that to me qualifies as a close or tough race. Georgia has two almost equal sets of partisans that vote all Democratic or all Republican no matter who gets nominated and whoever wins or loses a statewide race comes down entirely to who the chunk of swing voters go for.

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Zero Cool's avatar

No, I was responding to your previous comment. More specifically the argument you’re making in your first paragraph is what I am referring to.

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