In view of the possibility that the 2028 Presidential election might be decided by the House, with each delegation getting one vote, I just contributed to AK-AL, SD-AL, and MT-1.
Are you tracking those races, and can you point me to any others that might flip or neutralize a House delegation?
The probability that the 2028 presidential election or another election after that say in 2032 or 2036 will be decided by the House per the 12th Amendment seems unlikely.
Considering Trump has been on the ballot in the last three presidential elections, when he's not on the ballot in 2028, states like AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI may still be the ones that decide the presidential election. If Democrats and Republicans at the presidential level win the same states states like they have done before in 2016, 2020 and 2024, a tie in the electoral votes doesn't seem probable.
Trump won all of those battleground states in 2024. If the next 2028 GOP Presidential Candidate loses all of them, then there's no tie. If the candidate wins all of them, there's also no tie.
I've looked at different scenarios where any of those states can be won or lost by either the Democratic Presidential Candidate and GOP presidential candidate but none of them even resulted in a 269 electoral vote tie.
If there was a constitutional amendment campaign to ban gerrymandering, it would pass easily within 2 election cycles. The public does not like gerrymandering, no matter who does it.
I've been knocked down and counted out my whole life. But my father had an expression. He said, “Champ, it’s not how many times you get knocked down. It’s how quickly you get up.”
As a country, when we get knocked down, we get back up. We fight back. And we work harder than ever before. For these next 26 days, that’s exactly what we must do.
This fall, control of Congress is on the line. Thirty-six governors’ offices are up for grabs, too. These are races that could determine the 2028 election. And they are all races we can win – but only if we come together to do it.
So I’m asking you right now, folks: 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹?
In view of the possibility that the 2028 Presidential election might be decided by the House, with each delegation getting one vote, I just contributed to AK-AL, SD-AL, and MT-1.
Are you tracking those races, and can you point me to any others that might flip or neutralize a House delegation?
Why would it be decided by the House? Is there a prospective third candidate who could win electoral votes.
I think he just means the same reason it could be decided by the house on any other year: the possiblity that both candidates get 269 electoral votes.
The probability that the 2028 presidential election or another election after that say in 2032 or 2036 will be decided by the House per the 12th Amendment seems unlikely.
Considering Trump has been on the ballot in the last three presidential elections, when he's not on the ballot in 2028, states like AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI may still be the ones that decide the presidential election. If Democrats and Republicans at the presidential level win the same states states like they have done before in 2016, 2020 and 2024, a tie in the electoral votes doesn't seem probable.
Trump won all of those battleground states in 2024. If the next 2028 GOP Presidential Candidate loses all of them, then there's no tie. If the candidate wins all of them, there's also no tie.
I've looked at different scenarios where any of those states can be won or lost by either the Democratic Presidential Candidate and GOP presidential candidate but none of them even resulted in a 269 electoral vote tie.
Here's one scenario I came up with that would result in 269-vote tie:
https://www.270towin.com/maps/Edlzv
I agree, though, that an EV tie is very unlikely.
Come on Maryland wtf ??!!
You win some, you lose some.
If there was a constitutional amendment campaign to ban gerrymandering, it would pass easily within 2 election cycles. The public does not like gerrymandering, no matter who does it.
Some good government reforms are a hard sell to the public, like IRV, but banning gerrymandering is not.
This isn't a text I expected to get:
"Folks, it’s President Joe Biden.
I've been knocked down and counted out my whole life. But my father had an expression. He said, “Champ, it’s not how many times you get knocked down. It’s how quickly you get up.”
As a country, when we get knocked down, we get back up. We fight back. And we work harder than ever before. For these next 26 days, that’s exactly what we must do.
This fall, control of Congress is on the line. Thirty-six governors’ offices are up for grabs, too. These are races that could determine the 2028 election. And they are all races we can win – but only if we come together to do it.
So I’m asking you right now, folks: 𝗔𝗿𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗺𝗶𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝘁𝗼 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹?
Yes, I will vote: https://act-dga.org/tg7MQm
Yes, I’ve already voted: https://act-dga.org/tg7MQm-1
No: https://act-dga.org/tg7MQm-2
Unsure: https://act-dga.org/tg7MQm-3
Thank you.
– Joe Biden via DGA"
I'll text stop like I do to all political texts, but I respect Biden for doing this and so wish that he or Harris were president now...
NY-Gov: Trump is campaigning for Bruce Blakeman in Syracuse tomorrow, as part of a wider nationwide campaign to get Republicans over the finish line.
Now Blakeman will lose by 20 instead of 15.