" I think there is also a very good chance that they’re not accounting for (potentially) new Harris voters."
A modest example:
A New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer poll found Harris winning 12% of Republicans in Pennsylvania.
nitter.poast.org/RpsAga…
https://nitter.poast.org/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1847108612839076264#m
Parties typically usually only win about 4-5% of other-partisans, no?
These folks voted for Haley long after the nomination was decided; they won't vote Trump and will walk over hot coals barefoot to defeat him at the polls(and I think you are correct in your post above about normal partisan %)
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" I think there is also a very good chance that they’re not accounting for (potentially) new Harris voters."
A modest example:
A New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer poll found Harris winning 12% of Republicans in Pennsylvania.
https://nitter.poast.org/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1847108612839076264#m
Parties typically usually only win about 4-5% of other-partisans, no?
These folks voted for Haley long after the nomination was decided; they won't vote Trump and will walk over hot coals barefoot to defeat him at the polls(and I think you are correct in your post above about normal partisan %)