Are they weighting by recalled 2020 vote? If so, that will likely skew the weighted sample towards Republicans, since people tend to misremember voting for the winning candidate (Biden).
Are they weighting by recalled 2020 vote? If so, that will likely skew the weighted sample towards Republicans, since people tend to misremember voting for the winning candidate (Biden).
Some of them are, yes. Ipsos/Reuters is, for example. I just looked at the most recent YouGov/Economist, where they weight on it, and I see the same pattern (Harris +93 among Ds, -82 among Rs, +3 among Is, but only +3 overall, meaning a roughly R+2 sample).
Are they weighting by recalled 2020 vote? If so, that will likely skew the weighted sample towards Republicans, since people tend to misremember voting for the winning candidate (Biden).
Some of them are, yes. Ipsos/Reuters is, for example. I just looked at the most recent YouGov/Economist, where they weight on it, and I see the same pattern (Harris +93 among Ds, -82 among Rs, +3 among Is, but only +3 overall, meaning a roughly R+2 sample).
Doesn't explain Fox, but, well, Fox.