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ProudNewEnglander's avatar

This is a big reason why I think Harris will outperform the polls. This country obviously isn't R+3 (there have been more Ds than Rs in America for most of my life [which is why Rs have only won the popular vote once during it]), and there's no reason to believe the electorate will have more Rs than Ds. I'm expecting a roughly D+1 electorate, about the same as 2020, and that the results will reflect that (and therefore Harris will outperform any polls that use an R+3 electorate).

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